Hong Kong Observatory's latest 9-day forecast projects a high of 27°C on April 2 amid mainly cloudy conditions, east-to-southeast winds force 3-4, and low-probability showers with afternoon sunny intervals, as a trough of low pressure weakens over Guangdong. This drives trader consensus toward tightly clustered implied probabilities around 23-28°C (top outcomes 25.5% for 28°C+, 24% for 25°C), aligning with the forecast range of 23-27°C and aligning with recent highs of 25-26°C in late March. Differentiating factors include persistent high humidity (75-95%) capping peaks via cloud-induced cooling versus potential above-normal spring temperatures per seasonal outlooks, with climatological April highs near 25°C. Updated forecasts daily at 11:30 HKT could refine model consensus.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于Highest temperature in Hong Kong on April 2?
Highest temperature in Hong Kong on April 2?
23°C 24%
24°C 24%
25°C 24%
28°C or higher 21%
NEW
NEW
Apr 2, 2026
18°C or below
2%
19°C
3%
20°C
3%
21°C
10%
22°C
16%
23°C
24%
24°C
24%
25°C
24%
26°C
8%
27°C
20%
28°C or higher
21%
23°C 24%
24°C 24%
25°C 24%
28°C or higher 21%
NEW
NEW
Apr 2, 2026
18°C or below
$140 交易量
2%
19°C
$163 交易量
3%
20°C
$163 交易量
3%
21°C
$0 交易量
10%
22°C
$0 交易量
16%
23°C
$0 交易量
24%
24°C
$31 交易量
24%
25°C
$0 交易量
24%
26°C
$120 交易量
8%
27°C
$0 交易量
20%
28°C or higher
$2 交易量
21%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 2 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Hong Kong Observatory's latest 9-day forecast projects a high of 27°C on April 2 amid mainly cloudy conditions, east-to-southeast winds force 3-4, and low-probability showers with afternoon sunny intervals, as a trough of low pressure weakens over Guangdong. This drives trader consensus toward tightly clustered implied probabilities around 23-28°C (top outcomes 25.5% for 28°C+, 24% for 25°C), aligning with the forecast range of 23-27°C and aligning with recent highs of 25-26°C in late March. Differentiating factors include persistent high humidity (75-95%) capping peaks via cloud-induced cooling versus potential above-normal spring temperatures per seasonal outlooks, with climatological April highs near 25°C. Updated forecasts daily at 11:30 HKT could refine model consensus.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 2 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市场开放时间： Mar 29, 2026, 2:45 PM ET
交易量
$589结束日期
Apr 2, 2026市场开放时间
Mar 29, 2026, 2:45 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 2 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Hong Kong Observatory's latest 9-day forecast projects a high of 27°C on April 2 amid mainly cloudy conditions, east-to-southeast winds force 3-4, and low-probability showers with afternoon sunny intervals, as a trough of low pressure weakens over Guangdong. This drives trader consensus toward tightly clustered implied probabilities around 23-28°C (top outcomes 25.5% for 28°C+, 24% for 25°C), aligning with the forecast range of 23-27°C and aligning with recent highs of 25-26°C in late March. Differentiating factors include persistent high humidity (75-95%) capping peaks via cloud-induced cooling versus potential above-normal spring temperatures per seasonal outlooks, with climatological April highs near 25°C. Updated forecasts daily at 11:30 HKT could refine model consensus.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 2 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
交易量
$589结束日期
Apr 2, 2026市场开放时间
Mar 29, 2026, 2:45 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Hong Kong Observatory's latest 9-day forecast projects a high of 27°C on April 2 amid mainly cloudy conditions, east-to-southeast winds force 3-4, and low-probability showers with afternoon sunny intervals, as a trough of low pressure weakens over Guangdong. This drives trader consensus toward tightly clustered implied probabilities around 23-28°C (top outcomes 25.5% for 28°C+, 24% for 25°C), aligning with the forecast range of 23-27°C and aligning with recent highs of 25-26°C in late March. Differentiating factors include persistent high humidity (75-95%) capping peaks via cloud-induced cooling versus potential above-normal spring temperatures per seasonal outlooks, with climatological April highs near 25°C. Updated forecasts daily at 11:30 HKT could refine model consensus.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于
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