Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects tight uncertainty in forecast models for Tel Aviv's highest temperature on March 29, with implied probabilities clustered around 21–25°C amid divergent guidance from ECMWF and GFS ensembles. The Israel Meteorological Service's latest outlook points to mild spring conditions influenced by a weakening high-pressure ridge over the eastern Mediterranean, potentially moderated by northerly winds and partial cloud cover, yielding daytime highs near 22–23°C based on recent 00Z model runs. Historical March averages hover at 21°C, but sea surface temperatures 1–2°C above normal support slight warm anomalies; however, shortwave troughs could cap peaks. New 12Z updates expected today may refine steering patterns and boundary layer mixing, key differentiators for the 1–2°C spread.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于Highest temperature in Tel Aviv on March 29?
Highest temperature in Tel Aviv on March 29?
21°C or below 43%
24°C 31%
23°C 24%
22°C 22%
21°C or below
26%
22°C
22%
23°C
24%
24°C
18%
25°C
16%
26°C
13%
27°C
10%
28°C
10%
29°C
6%
30°C
5%
31°C or higher
2%
21°C or below 43%
24°C 31%
23°C 24%
22°C 22%
21°C or below
26%
22°C
22%
23°C
24%
24°C
18%
25°C
16%
26°C
13%
27°C
10%
28°C
10%
29°C
6%
30°C
5%
31°C or higher
2%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市场开放时间: Mar 25, 2026, 6:02 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects tight uncertainty in forecast models for Tel Aviv's highest temperature on March 29, with implied probabilities clustered around 21–25°C amid divergent guidance from ECMWF and GFS ensembles. The Israel Meteorological Service's latest outlook points to mild spring conditions influenced by a weakening high-pressure ridge over the eastern Mediterranean, potentially moderated by northerly winds and partial cloud cover, yielding daytime highs near 22–23°C based on recent 00Z model runs. Historical March averages hover at 21°C, but sea surface temperatures 1–2°C above normal support slight warm anomalies; however, shortwave troughs could cap peaks. New 12Z updates expected today may refine steering patterns and boundary layer mixing, key differentiators for the 1–2°C spread.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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