Trader sentiment clusters tightly around 23–24°C for Tel Aviv's highest temperature on March 28, driven by the latest ECMWF and GFS ensemble forecasts converging on mid-20s peaks amid a strengthening upper-level ridge ushering mild southerly flow. Israel's Meteorological Service projections align closely, showing diurnal highs of 23–25°C after morning lows near 17°C, tempered by the Mediterranean's cooling sea breeze and urban heat island effects in Tel Aviv. Differentiating factors include model spread—GFS slightly warmer at 25°C versus ECMWF's 23°C bias—and historical late-March norms averaging 22°C, with 1–2°C uncertainty from cloud timing and coastal advection keeping 25°C viable but sub-27°C consensus firm.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于3月28日特拉维夫最高气温?
3月28日特拉维夫最高气温?
25°C 31%
24°C 29%
23°C 29%
19°C 16%
17°C或以下
2%
18°C
1%
19°C
10%
20°C
11%
21°C
10%
22°C
12%
23°C
29%
24°C
29%
25°C
19%
26°C
9%
27°C或更高
7%
25°C 31%
24°C 29%
23°C 29%
19°C 16%
17°C或以下
2%
18°C
1%
19°C
10%
20°C
11%
21°C
10%
22°C
12%
23°C
29%
24°C
29%
25°C
19%
26°C
9%
27°C或更高
7%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市场开放时间: Mar 24, 2026, 6:02 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader sentiment clusters tightly around 23–24°C for Tel Aviv's highest temperature on March 28, driven by the latest ECMWF and GFS ensemble forecasts converging on mid-20s peaks amid a strengthening upper-level ridge ushering mild southerly flow. Israel's Meteorological Service projections align closely, showing diurnal highs of 23–25°C after morning lows near 17°C, tempered by the Mediterranean's cooling sea breeze and urban heat island effects in Tel Aviv. Differentiating factors include model spread—GFS slightly warmer at 25°C versus ECMWF's 23°C bias—and historical late-March norms averaging 22°C, with 1–2°C uncertainty from cloud timing and coastal advection keeping 25°C viable but sub-27°C consensus firm.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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