Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects tight uncertainty in BMKG's latest forecasts for Jakarta's highest temperature on April 4, pegging daytime highs at 31–32°C amid partly cloudy skies and light rain potential, driving the near-even implied probabilities for 31°C (25%) and 32°C (26%). Current observations show overcast conditions suppressing solar insolation—Gambir station at 31°C and Ragunan at 32°C as of April 3—while urban heat island effects and weak sea breezes could nudge peaks either way. April climatology averages 32°C highs during the dry season onset, but recent March spikes to 35.6°C highlight variability from El Niño residuals. Watch BMKG hourly updates and afternoon thunderstorm risks for shifts ahead of resolution at official stations like Kemayoran.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于Highest temperature in Jakarta on April 4?
Highest temperature in Jakarta on April 4?
32°C 26%
31°C 26%
33°C 21%
34°C 10%
28°C or below
1%
29°C
9%
30°C
9%
31°C
26%
32°C
26%
33°C
21%
34°C
10%
35°C
9%
36°C
3%
37°C
4%
38°C or higher
2%
32°C 26%
31°C 26%
33°C 21%
34°C 10%
28°C or below
1%
29°C
9%
30°C
9%
31°C
26%
32°C
26%
33°C
21%
34°C
10%
35°C
9%
36°C
3%
37°C
4%
38°C or higher
2%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Halim Perdanakusuma Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/id/jakarta/WIHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市场开放时间: Apr 2, 2026, 9:07 PM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Halim Perdanakusuma Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/id/jakarta/WIHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects tight uncertainty in BMKG's latest forecasts for Jakarta's highest temperature on April 4, pegging daytime highs at 31–32°C amid partly cloudy skies and light rain potential, driving the near-even implied probabilities for 31°C (25%) and 32°C (26%). Current observations show overcast conditions suppressing solar insolation—Gambir station at 31°C and Ragunan at 32°C as of April 3—while urban heat island effects and weak sea breezes could nudge peaks either way. April climatology averages 32°C highs during the dry season onset, but recent March spikes to 35.6°C highlight variability from El Niño residuals. Watch BMKG hourly updates and afternoon thunderstorm risks for shifts ahead of resolution at official stations like Kemayoran.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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