Latest Environment Canada forecasts and ensemble guidance from GFS and ECMWF models project Toronto's highest temperature on April 3 around 9–11°C under a developing high-pressure ridge fostering southerly flow and above-normal early-spring warmth, anchoring trader consensus at 65% implied probability for 9°C or higher. This positioning reflects a shift from late-March's sluggish cold snap—with highs near 3°C—to a mild pattern in seasonal outlooks, though lingering volatility from potential showers tempers enthusiasm for warmer outliers. Lower outcomes like 8°C (19%) and 6°C (18%) account for model spreads tied to cloud cover uncertainty on the Saffir-Simpson-irrelevant but intensity-influencing synoptic setup. Daily updates from Environment Canada through April 1 will clarify trajectories ahead of resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于Highest temperature in Toronto on April 3?
Highest temperature in Toronto on April 3?
9°C or higher 59%
8°C 18%
6°C 17%
7°C 9.6%
-1°C or below
5%
0°C
6%
1°C
3%
2°C
8%
3°C
8%
4°C
3%
5°C
10%
6°C
17%
7°C
10%
8°C
18%
9°C or higher
66%
9°C or higher 59%
8°C 18%
6°C 17%
7°C 9.6%
-1°C or below
5%
0°C
6%
1°C
3%
2°C
8%
3°C
8%
4°C
3%
5°C
10%
6°C
17%
7°C
10%
8°C
18%
9°C or higher
66%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市场开放时间: Mar 29, 2026, 3:53 PM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZResolver
0x69c47De9D...Latest Environment Canada forecasts and ensemble guidance from GFS and ECMWF models project Toronto's highest temperature on April 3 around 9–11°C under a developing high-pressure ridge fostering southerly flow and above-normal early-spring warmth, anchoring trader consensus at 65% implied probability for 9°C or higher. This positioning reflects a shift from late-March's sluggish cold snap—with highs near 3°C—to a mild pattern in seasonal outlooks, though lingering volatility from potential showers tempers enthusiasm for warmer outliers. Lower outcomes like 8°C (19%) and 6°C (18%) account for model spreads tied to cloud cover uncertainty on the Saffir-Simpson-irrelevant but intensity-influencing synoptic setup. Daily updates from Environment Canada through April 1 will clarify trajectories ahead of resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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