Current forecast ensembles from global models like ECMWF and GFS project Shenzhen's highest temperature on April 3 around 27-28°C, reflecting a warm late-March trend with March 29 peaking at 27°C amid persistent subtropical ridging over southern China. Trader sentiment clusters tightly across 25-30°C outcomes due to model spread: drier scenarios under high pressure favor 29-30°C+, while increased cloudiness and 60-70% precipitation chances from frontal activity could limit peaks to 25-26°C. South China Sea sea surface temperatures near 24°C bolster daytime heating potential, but inherent forecast uncertainty grows four days out, with key CMA updates and new model runs expected daily to refine probabilities ahead of resolution via official station data.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于Highest temperature in Shenzhen on April 3?
Highest temperature in Shenzhen on April 3?
30°C or higher 28%
27°C 24%
25°C 18%
26°C 18%
NEW
NEW
Apr 3, 2026
20°C or below
1%
21°C
1%
22°C
8%
23°C
8%
24°C
10%
25°C
18%
26°C
18%
27°C
24%
28°C
20%
29°C
18%
30°C or higher
28%
30°C or higher 28%
27°C 24%
25°C 18%
26°C 18%
NEW
NEW
Apr 3, 2026
20°C or below
$238 交易量
1%
21°C
$191 交易量
1%
22°C
$40 交易量
8%
23°C
$10 交易量
8%
24°C
$10 交易量
10%
25°C
$10 交易量
18%
26°C
$10 交易量
18%
27°C
$33 交易量
24%
28°C
$19 交易量
20%
29°C
$10 交易量
18%
30°C or higher
$10 交易量
28%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Current forecast ensembles from global models like ECMWF and GFS project Shenzhen's highest temperature on April 3 around 27-28°C, reflecting a warm late-March trend with March 29 peaking at 27°C amid persistent subtropical ridging over southern China. Trader sentiment clusters tightly across 25-30°C outcomes due to model spread: drier scenarios under high pressure favor 29-30°C+, while increased cloudiness and 60-70% precipitation chances from frontal activity could limit peaks to 25-26°C. South China Sea sea surface temperatures near 24°C bolster daytime heating potential, but inherent forecast uncertainty grows four days out, with key CMA updates and new model runs expected daily to refine probabilities ahead of resolution via official station data.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市场开放时间： Mar 29, 2026, 2:37 PM ET
交易量
$581结束日期
Apr 3, 2026市场开放时间
Mar 29, 2026, 2:37 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Current forecast ensembles from global models like ECMWF and GFS project Shenzhen's highest temperature on April 3 around 27-28°C, reflecting a warm late-March trend with March 29 peaking at 27°C amid persistent subtropical ridging over southern China. Trader sentiment clusters tightly across 25-30°C outcomes due to model spread: drier scenarios under high pressure favor 29-30°C+, while increased cloudiness and 60-70% precipitation chances from frontal activity could limit peaks to 25-26°C. South China Sea sea surface temperatures near 24°C bolster daytime heating potential, but inherent forecast uncertainty grows four days out, with key CMA updates and new model runs expected daily to refine probabilities ahead of resolution via official station data.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
交易量
$581结束日期
Apr 3, 2026市场开放时间
Mar 29, 2026, 2:37 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current forecast ensembles from global models like ECMWF and GFS project Shenzhen's highest temperature on April 3 around 27-28°C, reflecting a warm late-March trend with March 29 peaking at 27°C amid persistent subtropical ridging over southern China. Trader sentiment clusters tightly across 25-30°C outcomes due to model spread: drier scenarios under high pressure favor 29-30°C+, while increased cloudiness and 60-70% precipitation chances from frontal activity could limit peaks to 25-26°C. South China Sea sea surface temperatures near 24°C bolster daytime heating potential, but inherent forecast uncertainty grows four days out, with key CMA updates and new model runs expected daily to refine probabilities ahead of resolution via official station data.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题