Korea Meteorological Administration's latest medium-range forecast pins Busan's highest temperature on April 7 at 16°C, with minimums around 7°C, driving trader consensus where 16°C leads at 24.5% implied probability ahead of 17°C (23.0%) and 15°C (21.5%). This tight clustering reflects model ensemble agreement amid early spring warmth—evidenced by Seoul cherry blossoms blooming 10 days ahead of average—yet inherent forecast uncertainty from coastal sea breezes, potential cloud cover reducing insolation, and subtle divergences between KMA, ECMWF, and GFS runs projecting 16-18°C. AccuWeather aligns closely at 17°C under sunny conditions. Traders eye daily short-term updates from KMA through April 6 for refinements, as upper-level patterns could shift highs by 1-2°C. Historical April early highs average 16°C, contextualizing the balanced sentiment.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于Highest temperature in Busan on April 7?
Highest temperature in Busan on April 7?
16°C 22%
15°C 22%
17°C 21%
14°C 17%
最新
最新
2026-04-07
10°C or below
1%
11°C
1%
12°C
3%
13°C
14%
14°C
17%
15°C
22%
16°C
22%
17°C
21%
18°C
17%
19°C
15%
20°C or higher
13%
16°C 22%
15°C 22%
17°C 21%
14°C 17%
最新
最新
2026-04-07
10°C or below
$275 交易量
1%
11°C
$298 交易量
1%
12°C
$322 交易量
3%
13°C
$0 交易量
14%
14°C
$0 交易量
17%
15°C
$0 交易量
22%
16°C
$0 交易量
22%
17°C
$0 交易量
21%
18°C
$0 交易量
17%
19°C
$0 交易量
15%
20°C or higher
$5 交易量
13%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Gimhae Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Gimhae Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Korea Meteorological Administration's latest medium-range forecast pins Busan's highest temperature on April 7 at 16°C, with minimums around 7°C, driving trader consensus where 16°C leads at 24.5% implied probability ahead of 17°C (23.0%) and 15°C (21.5%). This tight clustering reflects model ensemble agreement amid early spring warmth—evidenced by Seoul cherry blossoms blooming 10 days ahead of average—yet inherent forecast uncertainty from coastal sea breezes, potential cloud cover reducing insolation, and subtle divergences between KMA, ECMWF, and GFS runs projecting 16-18°C. AccuWeather aligns closely at 17°C under sunny conditions. Traders eye daily short-term updates from KMA through April 6 for refinements, as upper-level patterns could shift highs by 1-2°C. Historical April early highs average 16°C, contextualizing the balanced sentiment.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Gimhae Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Gimhae Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Gimhae Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市场开放时间： Apr 2, 2026, 9:05 PM ET
交易量
$900结束日期
2026-04-07市场开放时间
Apr 2, 2026, 9:05 PM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Gimhae Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Gimhae Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Korea Meteorological Administration's latest medium-range forecast pins Busan's highest temperature on April 7 at 16°C, with minimums around 7°C, driving trader consensus where 16°C leads at 24.5% implied probability ahead of 17°C (23.0%) and 15°C (21.5%). This tight clustering reflects model ensemble agreement amid early spring warmth—evidenced by Seoul cherry blossoms blooming 10 days ahead of average—yet inherent forecast uncertainty from coastal sea breezes, potential cloud cover reducing insolation, and subtle divergences between KMA, ECMWF, and GFS runs projecting 16-18°C. AccuWeather aligns closely at 17°C under sunny conditions. Traders eye daily short-term updates from KMA through April 6 for refinements, as upper-level patterns could shift highs by 1-2°C. Historical April early highs average 16°C, contextualizing the balanced sentiment.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Gimhae Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Gimhae Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Gimhae Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
交易量
$900结束日期
2026-04-07市场开放时间
Apr 2, 2026, 9:05 PM ETKorea Meteorological Administration's latest medium-range forecast pins Busan's highest temperature on April 7 at 16°C, with minimums around 7°C, driving trader consensus where 16°C leads at 24.5% implied probability ahead of 17°C (23.0%) and 15°C (21.5%). This tight clustering reflects model ensemble agreement amid early spring warmth—evidenced by Seoul cherry blossoms blooming 10 days ahead of average—yet inherent forecast uncertainty from coastal sea breezes, potential cloud cover reducing insolation, and subtle divergences between KMA, ECMWF, and GFS runs projecting 16-18°C. AccuWeather aligns closely at 17°C under sunny conditions. Traders eye daily short-term updates from KMA through April 6 for refinements, as upper-level patterns could shift highs by 1-2°C. Historical April early highs average 16°C, contextualizing the balanced sentiment.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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