Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects high uncertainty in short-range forecasts for Shenzhen's highest temperature on April 8, with ensemble spreads from GFS and ECMWF models projecting 26–30°C amid variable cloud cover and convective activity. Recent severe thunderstorms and a yellow rainstorm warning issued by the Shenzhen Meteorological Bureau on April 4 have introduced moisture-laden air from the South China Sea, capping highs through persistent showers while urban heat island effects and sea breezes could push peaks higher if skies clear. April climatology shows average highs around 26°C, but daily model runs diverge on timing of any frontal passage or diurnal heating. Watch China Meteorological Administration updates and Bao'an Airport observations for resolution-defining measurements, with new ensemble data expected daily.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于Highest temperature in Shenzhen on April 8?
Highest temperature in Shenzhen on April 8?
29°C 23%
28°C 16%
30°C 15%
27°C 14%
最新
最新
2026-04-08
21°C or below
2%
22°C
1%
23°C
2%
24°C
9%
25°C
11%
26°C
15%
27°C
18%
28°C
16%
29°C
19%
30°C
15%
31°C or higher
9%
29°C 23%
28°C 16%
30°C 15%
27°C 14%
最新
最新
2026-04-08
21°C or below
$194 交易量
2%
22°C
$278 交易量
1%
23°C
$280 交易量
2%
24°C
$50 交易量
9%
25°C
$36 交易量
11%
26°C
$12 交易量
15%
27°C
$9 交易量
18%
28°C
$9 交易量
16%
29°C
$17 交易量
19%
30°C
$10 交易量
15%
31°C or higher
$19 交易量
9%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects high uncertainty in short-range forecasts for Shenzhen's highest temperature on April 8, with ensemble spreads from GFS and ECMWF models projecting 26–30°C amid variable cloud cover and convective activity. Recent severe thunderstorms and a yellow rainstorm warning issued by the Shenzhen Meteorological Bureau on April 4 have introduced moisture-laden air from the South China Sea, capping highs through persistent showers while urban heat island effects and sea breezes could push peaks higher if skies clear. April climatology shows average highs around 26°C, but daily model runs diverge on timing of any frontal passage or diurnal heating. Watch China Meteorological Administration updates and Bao'an Airport observations for resolution-defining measurements, with new ensemble data expected daily.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市场开放时间： Apr 4, 2026, 12:11 AM ET
交易量
$914结束日期
2026-04-08市场开放时间
Apr 4, 2026, 12:11 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects high uncertainty in short-range forecasts for Shenzhen's highest temperature on April 8, with ensemble spreads from GFS and ECMWF models projecting 26–30°C amid variable cloud cover and convective activity. Recent severe thunderstorms and a yellow rainstorm warning issued by the Shenzhen Meteorological Bureau on April 4 have introduced moisture-laden air from the South China Sea, capping highs through persistent showers while urban heat island effects and sea breezes could push peaks higher if skies clear. April climatology shows average highs around 26°C, but daily model runs diverge on timing of any frontal passage or diurnal heating. Watch China Meteorological Administration updates and Bao'an Airport observations for resolution-defining measurements, with new ensemble data expected daily.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
交易量
$914结束日期
2026-04-08市场开放时间
Apr 4, 2026, 12:11 AM ETTrader consensus on Polymarket reflects high uncertainty in short-range forecasts for Shenzhen's highest temperature on April 8, with ensemble spreads from GFS and ECMWF models projecting 26–30°C amid variable cloud cover and convective activity. Recent severe thunderstorms and a yellow rainstorm warning issued by the Shenzhen Meteorological Bureau on April 4 have introduced moisture-laden air from the South China Sea, capping highs through persistent showers while urban heat island effects and sea breezes could push peaks higher if skies clear. April climatology shows average highs around 26°C, but daily model runs diverge on timing of any frontal passage or diurnal heating. Watch China Meteorological Administration updates and Bao'an Airport observations for resolution-defining measurements, with new ensemble data expected daily.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题