Latest GFS and ECMWF ensemble forecasts project Shanghai's highest temperature on April 8 clustering tightly around 16–18°C at Xujiahui station, driving the closely matched trader consensus with 17°C leading at 26.5% implied probability, amid inherent short-range uncertainty in spring weather patterns. Recent observations show a cooling trend after early April warmth (20–21°C on April 4), influenced by a transient cold air mass from northern China and overcast conditions reported by the China Meteorological Administration on April 5 (11–25°C range). Differentiating factors include variable cloud cover suppressing daytime heating, light southerly winds limiting advection, and sea breezes from the East China Sea; historical early April normals hover near 18°C. Watch daily 00Z/12Z model updates and CMA bulletins for refinements ahead of resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于Highest temperature in Shanghai on April 8?
Highest temperature in Shanghai on April 8?
17°C 26%
18°C 24%
16°C 20%
19°C 15%
最新
最新
2026-04-08
13°C or below
4%
14°C
5%
15°C
9%
16°C
20%
17°C
26%
18°C
24%
19°C
15%
20°C
8%
21°C
4%
22°C
3%
23°C or higher
2%
17°C 26%
18°C 24%
16°C 20%
19°C 15%
最新
最新
2026-04-08
13°C or below
$1,021 交易量
4%
14°C
$238 交易量
5%
15°C
$211 交易量
9%
16°C
$116 交易量
20%
17°C
$204 交易量
26%
18°C
$152 交易量
24%
19°C
$168 交易量
15%
20°C
$150 交易量
8%
21°C
$153 交易量
4%
22°C
$142 交易量
3%
23°C or higher
$238 交易量
2%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Latest GFS and ECMWF ensemble forecasts project Shanghai's highest temperature on April 8 clustering tightly around 16–18°C at Xujiahui station, driving the closely matched trader consensus with 17°C leading at 26.5% implied probability, amid inherent short-range uncertainty in spring weather patterns. Recent observations show a cooling trend after early April warmth (20–21°C on April 4), influenced by a transient cold air mass from northern China and overcast conditions reported by the China Meteorological Administration on April 5 (11–25°C range). Differentiating factors include variable cloud cover suppressing daytime heating, light southerly winds limiting advection, and sea breezes from the East China Sea; historical early April normals hover near 18°C. Watch daily 00Z/12Z model updates and CMA bulletins for refinements ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市场开放时间： Apr 4, 2026, 12:09 AM ET
交易量
$2,793结束日期
2026-04-08市场开放时间
Apr 4, 2026, 12:09 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Latest GFS and ECMWF ensemble forecasts project Shanghai's highest temperature on April 8 clustering tightly around 16–18°C at Xujiahui station, driving the closely matched trader consensus with 17°C leading at 26.5% implied probability, amid inherent short-range uncertainty in spring weather patterns. Recent observations show a cooling trend after early April warmth (20–21°C on April 4), influenced by a transient cold air mass from northern China and overcast conditions reported by the China Meteorological Administration on April 5 (11–25°C range). Differentiating factors include variable cloud cover suppressing daytime heating, light southerly winds limiting advection, and sea breezes from the East China Sea; historical early April normals hover near 18°C. Watch daily 00Z/12Z model updates and CMA bulletins for refinements ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
交易量
$2,793结束日期
2026-04-08市场开放时间
Apr 4, 2026, 12:09 AM ETLatest GFS and ECMWF ensemble forecasts project Shanghai's highest temperature on April 8 clustering tightly around 16–18°C at Xujiahui station, driving the closely matched trader consensus with 17°C leading at 26.5% implied probability, amid inherent short-range uncertainty in spring weather patterns. Recent observations show a cooling trend after early April warmth (20–21°C on April 4), influenced by a transient cold air mass from northern China and overcast conditions reported by the China Meteorological Administration on April 5 (11–25°C range). Differentiating factors include variable cloud cover suppressing daytime heating, light southerly winds limiting advection, and sea breezes from the East China Sea; historical early April normals hover near 18°C. Watch daily 00Z/12Z model updates and CMA bulletins for refinements ahead of resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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