Latest ensemble forecasts from ECMWF and GFS models indicate Buenos Aires' highest temperature on April 4 clustering around 21-24°C, aligning with trader consensus favoring 21°C (26%) and 22°C (21%) amid early autumn cooling trends. Key differentiators include model divergences on stratiform cloud cover and the timing of a weak southerly frontal boundary, which could suppress peaks below 22°C via enhanced low-level convergence and sea breeze effects, while clearer skies under persistent ridging might push toward 24°C. Climatological April 4 highs average 22°C at Ezeiza Airport, the likely resolution station. With four days out, inherent forecast uncertainty prevails; watch daily 00Z model runs and Servicio Meteorológico Nacional updates for shifts.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于Highest temperature in Buenos Aires on April 4?
Highest temperature in Buenos Aires on April 4?
21°C 26%
22°C 21%
24°C 14%
23°C 13%
最新
最新
2026-04-04
17°C or below
4%
18°C
3%
19°C
3%
20°C
8%
21°C
26%
22°C
21%
23°C
13%
24°C
14%
25°C
10%
26°C
7%
27°C or higher
12%
21°C 26%
22°C 21%
24°C 14%
23°C 13%
最新
最新
2026-04-04
17°C or below
$225 交易量
4%
18°C
$191 交易量
3%
19°C
$307 交易量
3%
20°C
$159 交易量
8%
21°C
$256 交易量
26%
22°C
$236 交易量
21%
23°C
$187 交易量
13%
24°C
$287 交易量
14%
25°C
$178 交易量
10%
26°C
$165 交易量
7%
27°C or higher
$473 交易量
12%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Latest ensemble forecasts from ECMWF and GFS models indicate Buenos Aires' highest temperature on April 4 clustering around 21-24°C, aligning with trader consensus favoring 21°C (26%) and 22°C (21%) amid early autumn cooling trends. Key differentiators include model divergences on stratiform cloud cover and the timing of a weak southerly frontal boundary, which could suppress peaks below 22°C via enhanced low-level convergence and sea breeze effects, while clearer skies under persistent ridging might push toward 24°C. Climatological April 4 highs average 22°C at Ezeiza Airport, the likely resolution station. With four days out, inherent forecast uncertainty prevails; watch daily 00Z model runs and Servicio Meteorológico Nacional updates for shifts.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市场开放时间： Mar 29, 2026, 2:52 PM ET
交易量
$2,664结束日期
2026-04-04市场开放时间
Mar 29, 2026, 2:52 PM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Latest ensemble forecasts from ECMWF and GFS models indicate Buenos Aires' highest temperature on April 4 clustering around 21-24°C, aligning with trader consensus favoring 21°C (26%) and 22°C (21%) amid early autumn cooling trends. Key differentiators include model divergences on stratiform cloud cover and the timing of a weak southerly frontal boundary, which could suppress peaks below 22°C via enhanced low-level convergence and sea breeze effects, while clearer skies under persistent ridging might push toward 24°C. Climatological April 4 highs average 22°C at Ezeiza Airport, the likely resolution station. With four days out, inherent forecast uncertainty prevails; watch daily 00Z model runs and Servicio Meteorológico Nacional updates for shifts.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
交易量
$2,664结束日期
2026-04-04市场开放时间
Mar 29, 2026, 2:52 PM ETLatest ensemble forecasts from ECMWF and GFS models indicate Buenos Aires' highest temperature on April 4 clustering around 21-24°C, aligning with trader consensus favoring 21°C (26%) and 22°C (21%) amid early autumn cooling trends. Key differentiators include model divergences on stratiform cloud cover and the timing of a weak southerly frontal boundary, which could suppress peaks below 22°C via enhanced low-level convergence and sea breeze effects, while clearer skies under persistent ridging might push toward 24°C. Climatological April 4 highs average 22°C at Ezeiza Airport, the likely resolution station. With four days out, inherent forecast uncertainty prevails; watch daily 00Z model runs and Servicio Meteorológico Nacional updates for shifts.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题