MetService's latest forecast for Wellington Central, issued this morning, projects a maximum temperature of 17°C on April 1 under fine conditions with northwesterlies developing in the afternoon, driving trader consensus to price this outcome at 53% implied probability. This aligns with NIWA climatological norms for early April highs around 16–17°C, moderated by the city's maritime exposure to Cook Strait sea breezes that cap peaks despite clearer skies. Recent observations show cooling from 20°C today amid a stabilizing high-pressure ridge, boosting 16°C (31.5%) and 18°C (22.5%) as hedges for minor model variations in peak heating. Updated guidance expected within 24 hours could refine these odds amid inherent short-range forecast uncertainty.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于4月1日惠灵顿的最高温度？
4月1日惠灵顿的最高温度？
17°C 37%
16°C 31%
18°C 21%
15°C 16%
NEW
NEW
Apr 1, 2026
10°C或以下
<1%
11℃
1%
12°C
<1%
13°C
5%
14°C
8%
15°C
12%
16°C
31%
17°C
41%
18°C
21%
19°C
5%
20°C或更高
7%
17°C 37%
16°C 31%
18°C 21%
15°C 16%
NEW
NEW
Apr 1, 2026
10°C或以下
$696 交易量
<1%
11℃
$747 交易量
1%
12°C
$2,012 交易量
<1%
13°C
$196 交易量
5%
14°C
$101 交易量
8%
15°C
$104 交易量
12%
16°C
$70 交易量
31%
17°C
$96 交易量
41%
18°C
$87 交易量
21%
19°C
$57 交易量
5%
20°C或更高
$353 交易量
7%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wellington Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.MetService's latest forecast for Wellington Central, issued this morning, projects a maximum temperature of 17°C on April 1 under fine conditions with northwesterlies developing in the afternoon, driving trader consensus to price this outcome at 53% implied probability. This aligns with NIWA climatological norms for early April highs around 16–17°C, moderated by the city's maritime exposure to Cook Strait sea breezes that cap peaks despite clearer skies. Recent observations show cooling from 20°C today amid a stabilizing high-pressure ridge, boosting 16°C (31.5%) and 18°C (22.5%) as hedges for minor model variations in peak heating. Updated guidance expected within 24 hours could refine these odds amid inherent short-range forecast uncertainty.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wellington Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wellington Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市场开放时间： Mar 29, 2026, 2:18 PM ET
交易量
$4,518结束日期
Apr 1, 2026市场开放时间
Mar 29, 2026, 2:18 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWNResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wellington Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.MetService's latest forecast for Wellington Central, issued this morning, projects a maximum temperature of 17°C on April 1 under fine conditions with northwesterlies developing in the afternoon, driving trader consensus to price this outcome at 53% implied probability. This aligns with NIWA climatological norms for early April highs around 16–17°C, moderated by the city's maritime exposure to Cook Strait sea breezes that cap peaks despite clearer skies. Recent observations show cooling from 20°C today amid a stabilizing high-pressure ridge, boosting 16°C (31.5%) and 18°C (22.5%) as hedges for minor model variations in peak heating. Updated guidance expected within 24 hours could refine these odds amid inherent short-range forecast uncertainty.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wellington Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wellington Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
交易量
$4,518结束日期
Apr 1, 2026市场开放时间
Mar 29, 2026, 2:18 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWNResolver
0x69c47De9D...MetService's latest forecast for Wellington Central, issued this morning, projects a maximum temperature of 17°C on April 1 under fine conditions with northwesterlies developing in the afternoon, driving trader consensus to price this outcome at 53% implied probability. This aligns with NIWA climatological norms for early April highs around 16–17°C, moderated by the city's maritime exposure to Cook Strait sea breezes that cap peaks despite clearer skies. Recent observations show cooling from 20°C today amid a stabilizing high-pressure ridge, boosting 16°C (31.5%) and 18°C (22.5%) as hedges for minor model variations in peak heating. Updated guidance expected within 24 hours could refine these odds amid inherent short-range forecast uncertainty.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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