MetService's latest forecast update on April 1 projects a 17°C high temperature in Wellington on April 5 under occasional rain and developing southerlies, aligning with recent observations of 17.2–17.3°C maxima and driving trader sentiment toward tightly clustered 16–19°C outcomes reflecting model ensemble spreads from GFS and ECMWF. Southeasterly winds introduce cool marine air, while an 80% chance of at least 1 mm rainfall risks increased cloud cover capping peaks below guidance; NIWA's seasonal outlook indicates 40% odds of above-average temperatures for the region, near climatological April norms of ~17°C. Key uncertainties include shower persistence and ridge weakening, with daily MetService revisions expected ahead of resolution via official airport measurements.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于Highest temperature in Wellington on April 5?
Highest temperature in Wellington on April 5?
17°C 26%
19°C 25%
18°C 24%
16°C 15%
最新
最新
2026-04-05
11°C或以下
<1%
12°C
<1%
13°C
1%
14°C
5%
15°C
9%
16°C
15%
17°C
26%
18°C
24%
19°C
25%
20°C
6%
21°C or higher
11%
17°C 26%
19°C 25%
18°C 24%
16°C 15%
最新
最新
2026-04-05
11°C或以下
$174 交易量
<1%
12°C
$533 交易量
<1%
13°C
$507 交易量
1%
14°C
$30 交易量
5%
15°C
$20 交易量
9%
16°C
$25 交易量
15%
17°C
$37 交易量
26%
18°C
$47 交易量
24%
19°C
$65 交易量
25%
20°C
$21 交易量
6%
21°C or higher
$146 交易量
11%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wellington Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.MetService's latest forecast update on April 1 projects a 17°C high temperature in Wellington on April 5 under occasional rain and developing southerlies, aligning with recent observations of 17.2–17.3°C maxima and driving trader sentiment toward tightly clustered 16–19°C outcomes reflecting model ensemble spreads from GFS and ECMWF. Southeasterly winds introduce cool marine air, while an 80% chance of at least 1 mm rainfall risks increased cloud cover capping peaks below guidance; NIWA's seasonal outlook indicates 40% odds of above-average temperatures for the region, near climatological April norms of ~17°C. Key uncertainties include shower persistence and ridge weakening, with daily MetService revisions expected ahead of resolution via official airport measurements.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wellington Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wellington Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市场开放时间： Apr 1, 2026, 6:02 AM ET
交易量
$1,606结束日期
2026-04-05市场开放时间
Apr 1, 2026, 6:02 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wellington Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.MetService's latest forecast update on April 1 projects a 17°C high temperature in Wellington on April 5 under occasional rain and developing southerlies, aligning with recent observations of 17.2–17.3°C maxima and driving trader sentiment toward tightly clustered 16–19°C outcomes reflecting model ensemble spreads from GFS and ECMWF. Southeasterly winds introduce cool marine air, while an 80% chance of at least 1 mm rainfall risks increased cloud cover capping peaks below guidance; NIWA's seasonal outlook indicates 40% odds of above-average temperatures for the region, near climatological April norms of ~17°C. Key uncertainties include shower persistence and ridge weakening, with daily MetService revisions expected ahead of resolution via official airport measurements.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wellington Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wellington Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
交易量
$1,606结束日期
2026-04-05市场开放时间
Apr 1, 2026, 6:02 AM ETMetService's latest forecast update on April 1 projects a 17°C high temperature in Wellington on April 5 under occasional rain and developing southerlies, aligning with recent observations of 17.2–17.3°C maxima and driving trader sentiment toward tightly clustered 16–19°C outcomes reflecting model ensemble spreads from GFS and ECMWF. Southeasterly winds introduce cool marine air, while an 80% chance of at least 1 mm rainfall risks increased cloud cover capping peaks below guidance; NIWA's seasonal outlook indicates 40% odds of above-average temperatures for the region, near climatological April norms of ~17°C. Key uncertainties include shower persistence and ridge weakening, with daily MetService revisions expected ahead of resolution via official airport measurements.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于
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