Latest National Weather Service and NOAA model ensembles, including GFS and ECMWF runs updated in the past 24 hours, indicate Chicago's high temperature on April 5 clustering around 50-53°F, aligning with trader consensus and the climatological normal of 54.8°F at O'Hare. A persistent cloudy pattern from early April's blustery, wet conditions—stemming from March's mild, active weather—caps warming potential via increased cloud cover and possible light precipitation, differentiating slightly cooler 48-49°F outcomes (18.5% implied probability) from marginally warmer 54-55°F (14.5%). Forecast spread of 5-10°F reflects uncertainty in weak frontal timing and upper-level steering; new 12z model guidance expected midday April 4 could sharpen resolution criteria before the daily maximum observation.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于Highest temperature in Chicago on April 5?
Highest temperature in Chicago on April 5?
50-51°F 24%
52-53°F 23%
48-49°F 19%
54-55°F 15%
最新
最新
2026-04-05
37°F or below
<1%
38-39°F
<1%
40-41°F
<1%
42-43°F
2%
44-45°F
8%
46-47°F
8%
48-49°F
19%
50-51°F
24%
52-53°F
23%
54-55°F
15%
56°F or higher
10%
50-51°F 24%
52-53°F 23%
48-49°F 19%
54-55°F 15%
最新
最新
2026-04-05
37°F or below
$724 交易量
<1%
38-39°F
$573 交易量
<1%
40-41°F
$718 交易量
<1%
42-43°F
$1,079 交易量
2%
44-45°F
$676 交易量
8%
46-47°F
$716 交易量
8%
48-49°F
$798 交易量
19%
50-51°F
$1,087 交易量
24%
52-53°F
$840 交易量
23%
54-55°F
$903 交易量
15%
56°F or higher
$1,441 交易量
10%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 5 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Latest National Weather Service and NOAA model ensembles, including GFS and ECMWF runs updated in the past 24 hours, indicate Chicago's high temperature on April 5 clustering around 50-53°F, aligning with trader consensus and the climatological normal of 54.8°F at O'Hare. A persistent cloudy pattern from early April's blustery, wet conditions—stemming from March's mild, active weather—caps warming potential via increased cloud cover and possible light precipitation, differentiating slightly cooler 48-49°F outcomes (18.5% implied probability) from marginally warmer 54-55°F (14.5%). Forecast spread of 5-10°F reflects uncertainty in weak frontal timing and upper-level steering; new 12z model guidance expected midday April 4 could sharpen resolution criteria before the daily maximum observation.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 5 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市场开放时间： Apr 1, 2026, 6:02 AM ET
交易量
$9,556结束日期
2026-04-05市场开放时间
Apr 1, 2026, 6:02 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 5 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Latest National Weather Service and NOAA model ensembles, including GFS and ECMWF runs updated in the past 24 hours, indicate Chicago's high temperature on April 5 clustering around 50-53°F, aligning with trader consensus and the climatological normal of 54.8°F at O'Hare. A persistent cloudy pattern from early April's blustery, wet conditions—stemming from March's mild, active weather—caps warming potential via increased cloud cover and possible light precipitation, differentiating slightly cooler 48-49°F outcomes (18.5% implied probability) from marginally warmer 54-55°F (14.5%). Forecast spread of 5-10°F reflects uncertainty in weak frontal timing and upper-level steering; new 12z model guidance expected midday April 4 could sharpen resolution criteria before the daily maximum observation.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 5 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
交易量
$9,556结束日期
2026-04-05市场开放时间
Apr 1, 2026, 6:02 AM ETLatest National Weather Service and NOAA model ensembles, including GFS and ECMWF runs updated in the past 24 hours, indicate Chicago's high temperature on April 5 clustering around 50-53°F, aligning with trader consensus and the climatological normal of 54.8°F at O'Hare. A persistent cloudy pattern from early April's blustery, wet conditions—stemming from March's mild, active weather—caps warming potential via increased cloud cover and possible light precipitation, differentiating slightly cooler 48-49°F outcomes (18.5% implied probability) from marginally warmer 54-55°F (14.5%). Forecast spread of 5-10°F reflects uncertainty in weak frontal timing and upper-level steering; new 12z model guidance expected midday April 4 could sharpen resolution criteria before the daily maximum observation.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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