Trader consensus on Polymarket clusters around 48-51°F highs at Chicago O'Hare International Airport on April 6, reflecting National Weather Service guidance and model ensembles like GFS and ECMWF that project upper 40s to low 50s amid a persistent cool upper-level trough over the Midwest. This below-normal positioning—versus the 55°F climatological average—stems from recent frontal passages delivering chilly Canadian air, as evidenced by April 1's 39°F high, with lingering cloud cover and light northwest winds capping peak heating. Close odds between bins underscore forecast uncertainty in boundary layer mixing and exact timing of any clearing, with new model runs due every 6-12 hours potentially tipping the balance ahead of resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于Highest temperature in Chicago on April 6?
Highest temperature in Chicago on April 6?
50-51°F 23%
48-49°F 23%
46-47°F 18%
52-53°F 17%
最新
最新
2026-04-06
41°F or below
1%
42-43°F
1%
44-45°F
8%
46-47°F
18%
48-49°F
23%
50-51°F
23%
52-53°F
17%
54-55°F
12%
56-57°F
8%
58-59°F
2%
60°F or higher
2%
50-51°F 23%
48-49°F 23%
46-47°F 18%
52-53°F 17%
最新
最新
2026-04-06
41°F or below
$807 交易量
1%
42-43°F
$113 交易量
1%
44-45°F
$123 交易量
8%
46-47°F
$132 交易量
18%
48-49°F
$126 交易量
23%
50-51°F
$175 交易量
23%
52-53°F
$189 交易量
17%
54-55°F
$236 交易量
12%
56-57°F
$167 交易量
8%
58-59°F
$291 交易量
2%
60°F or higher
$963 交易量
2%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 6 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket clusters around 48-51°F highs at Chicago O'Hare International Airport on April 6, reflecting National Weather Service guidance and model ensembles like GFS and ECMWF that project upper 40s to low 50s amid a persistent cool upper-level trough over the Midwest. This below-normal positioning—versus the 55°F climatological average—stems from recent frontal passages delivering chilly Canadian air, as evidenced by April 1's 39°F high, with lingering cloud cover and light northwest winds capping peak heating. Close odds between bins underscore forecast uncertainty in boundary layer mixing and exact timing of any clearing, with new model runs due every 6-12 hours potentially tipping the balance ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 6 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市场开放时间： Apr 2, 2026, 6:02 AM ET
交易量
$3,319结束日期
2026-04-06市场开放时间
Apr 2, 2026, 6:02 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 6 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket clusters around 48-51°F highs at Chicago O'Hare International Airport on April 6, reflecting National Weather Service guidance and model ensembles like GFS and ECMWF that project upper 40s to low 50s amid a persistent cool upper-level trough over the Midwest. This below-normal positioning—versus the 55°F climatological average—stems from recent frontal passages delivering chilly Canadian air, as evidenced by April 1's 39°F high, with lingering cloud cover and light northwest winds capping peak heating. Close odds between bins underscore forecast uncertainty in boundary layer mixing and exact timing of any clearing, with new model runs due every 6-12 hours potentially tipping the balance ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 6 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
交易量
$3,319结束日期
2026-04-06市场开放时间
Apr 2, 2026, 6:02 AM ETTrader consensus on Polymarket clusters around 48-51°F highs at Chicago O'Hare International Airport on April 6, reflecting National Weather Service guidance and model ensembles like GFS and ECMWF that project upper 40s to low 50s amid a persistent cool upper-level trough over the Midwest. This below-normal positioning—versus the 55°F climatological average—stems from recent frontal passages delivering chilly Canadian air, as evidenced by April 1's 39°F high, with lingering cloud cover and light northwest winds capping peak heating. Close odds between bins underscore forecast uncertainty in boundary layer mixing and exact timing of any clearing, with new model runs due every 6-12 hours potentially tipping the balance ahead of resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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