Latest BMKG forecasts for Jakarta indicate persistent light rain and cloudy skies through early April 2026, including April 6, amid the transition from La Niña-influenced wet conditions to ENSO-neutral and emerging Australian monsoon dominance, capping peak highs around 31°C while allowing variability from 28–35°C. Trader consensus reflects this uncertainty, with market-implied odds tightly clustered as convective showers could suppress temperatures by 2–3°C via increased cloud cover, whereas clearer intervals or urban heat island effects might push toward 33–35°C. Java Sea surface temperatures remain elevated near 30°C, fueling sea breezes that moderate extremes, consistent with April climatology averaging 32°C highs. Watch BMKG daily updates for refined model runs resolving the market by midnight April 6.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于Highest temperature in Jakarta on April 6?
Highest temperature in Jakarta on April 6?
28°C 27%
29°C 26%
31°C 26%
30°C 26%
26°C or below
21%
27°C
23%
28°C
27%
29°C
26%
30°C
26%
31°C
26%
32°C
26%
33°C
26%
34°C
26%
35°C
26%
36°C or higher
14%
28°C 27%
29°C 26%
31°C 26%
30°C 26%
26°C or below
21%
27°C
23%
28°C
27%
29°C
26%
30°C
26%
31°C
26%
32°C
26%
33°C
26%
34°C
26%
35°C
26%
36°C or higher
14%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Halim Perdanakusuma Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/id/jakarta/WIHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市场开放时间: Apr 2, 2026, 8:58 PM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Halim Perdanakusuma Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/id/jakarta/WIHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Latest BMKG forecasts for Jakarta indicate persistent light rain and cloudy skies through early April 2026, including April 6, amid the transition from La Niña-influenced wet conditions to ENSO-neutral and emerging Australian monsoon dominance, capping peak highs around 31°C while allowing variability from 28–35°C. Trader consensus reflects this uncertainty, with market-implied odds tightly clustered as convective showers could suppress temperatures by 2–3°C via increased cloud cover, whereas clearer intervals or urban heat island effects might push toward 33–35°C. Java Sea surface temperatures remain elevated near 30°C, fueling sea breezes that moderate extremes, consistent with April climatology averaging 32°C highs. Watch BMKG daily updates for refined model runs resolving the market by midnight April 6.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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