The Central Weather Administration's latest 7-day forecast projects Taipei's highest temperature on April 1 at 20–22°C under partly cloudy skies with incoming frontal moisture from southern China, capping daytime heating after late-March peaks exceeded 28°C at Songshan Airport station. Trader consensus reflects this range, with 21°C leading at 34% implied probability amid model uncertainty in frontal timing—persistent overcast could limit peaks to 20°C via reduced solar insolation, while brief clearing might push toward 23°C. Early-April climatological averages hover near 23°C, but drier winter patterns and current cooling trend favor the lower 20s; daily CWA updates through March 31 will refine guidance on cloud cover and wind shear differentiating these close outcomes.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于Highest temperature in Taipei on April 1?
Highest temperature in Taipei on April 1?
21°C 29%
23°C 26%
20°C 22%
22°C 18%
15°C or below
4%
16°C
3%
17°C
4%
18°C
9%
19°C
14%
20°C
22%
21°C
31%
22°C
18%
23°C
26%
24°C
10%
25°C or higher
3%
21°C 29%
23°C 26%
20°C 22%
22°C 18%
15°C or below
4%
16°C
3%
17°C
4%
18°C
9%
19°C
14%
20°C
22%
21°C
31%
22°C
18%
23°C
26%
24°C
10%
25°C or higher
3%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=RCTP
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市场开放时间: Mar 29, 2026, 2:23 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=RCTP
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The Central Weather Administration's latest 7-day forecast projects Taipei's highest temperature on April 1 at 20–22°C under partly cloudy skies with incoming frontal moisture from southern China, capping daytime heating after late-March peaks exceeded 28°C at Songshan Airport station. Trader consensus reflects this range, with 21°C leading at 34% implied probability amid model uncertainty in frontal timing—persistent overcast could limit peaks to 20°C via reduced solar insolation, while brief clearing might push toward 23°C. Early-April climatological averages hover near 23°C, but drier winter patterns and current cooling trend favor the lower 20s; daily CWA updates through March 31 will refine guidance on cloud cover and wind shear differentiating these close outcomes.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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