The Central Weather Administration's latest 72-hour forecast projects a daytime high near 25°C in Taipei on April 2 under partly cloudy skies with occasional showers, anchoring trader consensus around 24–26°C outcomes at 18–23% implied probabilities each. This reflects model ensemble agreement on a brief cool interlude from a passing weather front following warmer late-March conditions (highs to 29°C today), but inherent uncertainty arises from cloud cover variability reducing solar insolation and shower timing potentially capping peaks at 24°C or allowing urban heat island effects to nudge toward 26°C. Historical early-April highs average 23–25°C; watch CWA's daily updates March 31–April 1 for refined guidance as resolution nears.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于Highest temperature in Taipei on April 2?
Highest temperature in Taipei on April 2?
26°C 22%
25°C 21%
27°C 19%
24°C 18%
19°C or below
5%
20°C
5%
21°C
4%
22°C
10%
23°C
18%
24°C
18%
25°C
21%
26°C
22%
27°C
19%
28°C
17%
29°C or higher
15%
26°C 22%
25°C 21%
27°C 19%
24°C 18%
19°C or below
5%
20°C
5%
21°C
4%
22°C
10%
23°C
18%
24°C
18%
25°C
21%
26°C
22%
27°C
19%
28°C
17%
29°C or higher
15%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=RCTP
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市场开放时间: Mar 29, 2026, 2:37 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=RCTP
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The Central Weather Administration's latest 72-hour forecast projects a daytime high near 25°C in Taipei on April 2 under partly cloudy skies with occasional showers, anchoring trader consensus around 24–26°C outcomes at 18–23% implied probabilities each. This reflects model ensemble agreement on a brief cool interlude from a passing weather front following warmer late-March conditions (highs to 29°C today), but inherent uncertainty arises from cloud cover variability reducing solar insolation and shower timing potentially capping peaks at 24°C or allowing urban heat island effects to nudge toward 26°C. Historical early-April highs average 23–25°C; watch CWA's daily updates March 31–April 1 for refined guidance as resolution nears.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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