Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns a 52.5% implied probability to 33°C or below as Lucknow's highest temperature on April 5, closely followed by 34°C at 29.5%, reflecting India Meteorological Department (IMD) forecasts projecting maximums around 33–35°C amid partly cloudy skies and possible thundery developments with light rain. Recent IMD bulletins highlight isolated thunderstorms and gusty winds across Uttar Pradesh through early April, suppressing daytime heating by increasing cloud cover and convective mixing, which reduces surface insolation compared to recent clearer days with highs near 38°C on April 1–2. This wetter-than-normal pre-monsoon pattern, per IMD's seasonal outlook, tempers peak temperatures below the April historical average of 36–39°C. Watch IMD's daily updates tomorrow for refined model guidance, as minor shifts in cloudiness could adjust outcomes.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于Highest temperature in Lucknow on April 5?
Highest temperature in Lucknow on April 5?
33°C or below 66%
34°C 27%
35°C 9%
36°C 5%
最新
最新
2026-04-05
33°C or below
66%
34°C
27%
35°C
9%
36°C
5%
37°C
1%
38°C
1%
39°C
<1%
40°C
<1%
41°C
<1%
42°C
<1%
43°C or higher
<1%
33°C or below 66%
34°C 27%
35°C 9%
36°C 5%
最新
最新
2026-04-05
33°C or below
$750 交易量
66%
34°C
$497 交易量
27%
35°C
$222 交易量
9%
36°C
$438 交易量
5%
37°C
$285 交易量
1%
38°C
$2,133 交易量
1%
39°C
$2,289 交易量
<1%
40°C
$532 交易量
<1%
41°C
$299 交易量
<1%
42°C
$374 交易量
<1%
43°C or higher
$277 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns a 52.5% implied probability to 33°C or below as Lucknow's highest temperature on April 5, closely followed by 34°C at 29.5%, reflecting India Meteorological Department (IMD) forecasts projecting maximums around 33–35°C amid partly cloudy skies and possible thundery developments with light rain. Recent IMD bulletins highlight isolated thunderstorms and gusty winds across Uttar Pradesh through early April, suppressing daytime heating by increasing cloud cover and convective mixing, which reduces surface insolation compared to recent clearer days with highs near 38°C on April 1–2. This wetter-than-normal pre-monsoon pattern, per IMD's seasonal outlook, tempers peak temperatures below the April historical average of 36–39°C. Watch IMD's daily updates tomorrow for refined model guidance, as minor shifts in cloudiness could adjust outcomes.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市场开放时间： Apr 1, 2026, 6:02 AM ET
交易量
$7,919结束日期
2026-04-05市场开放时间
Apr 1, 2026, 6:02 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns a 52.5% implied probability to 33°C or below as Lucknow's highest temperature on April 5, closely followed by 34°C at 29.5%, reflecting India Meteorological Department (IMD) forecasts projecting maximums around 33–35°C amid partly cloudy skies and possible thundery developments with light rain. Recent IMD bulletins highlight isolated thunderstorms and gusty winds across Uttar Pradesh through early April, suppressing daytime heating by increasing cloud cover and convective mixing, which reduces surface insolation compared to recent clearer days with highs near 38°C on April 1–2. This wetter-than-normal pre-monsoon pattern, per IMD's seasonal outlook, tempers peak temperatures below the April historical average of 36–39°C. Watch IMD's daily updates tomorrow for refined model guidance, as minor shifts in cloudiness could adjust outcomes.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
交易量
$7,919结束日期
2026-04-05市场开放时间
Apr 1, 2026, 6:02 AM ETTrader consensus on Polymarket assigns a 52.5% implied probability to 33°C or below as Lucknow's highest temperature on April 5, closely followed by 34°C at 29.5%, reflecting India Meteorological Department (IMD) forecasts projecting maximums around 33–35°C amid partly cloudy skies and possible thundery developments with light rain. Recent IMD bulletins highlight isolated thunderstorms and gusty winds across Uttar Pradesh through early April, suppressing daytime heating by increasing cloud cover and convective mixing, which reduces surface insolation compared to recent clearer days with highs near 38°C on April 1–2. This wetter-than-normal pre-monsoon pattern, per IMD's seasonal outlook, tempers peak temperatures below the April historical average of 36–39°C. Watch IMD's daily updates tomorrow for refined model guidance, as minor shifts in cloudiness could adjust outcomes.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题