Latest ensemble forecasts from global models including GFS and ECMWF indicate Shanghai's highest temperature on April 5 clustering around 22-24°C, aligning with trader sentiment favoring 23°C at 26.5% implied probability, closely trailed by 22°C and 21°C. This positioning stems from recent model updates over the past 24 hours showing southerly winds and high pressure dominance after a brief cool-down projected for April 3-4, with highs rebounding above the early April climatological average of 19°C. Differentiating factors include uncertainty in afternoon cloud cover reducing solar insolation versus urban heat island amplification and sea breeze moderation. China Meteorological Administration daily bulletins and 12z model runs will provide key refinements before resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于Highest temperature in Shanghai on April 5?
Highest temperature in Shanghai on April 5?
23°C 27%
22°C 18%
21°C 18%
24°C 14%
最新
最新
2026-04-05
18°C or below
5%
19°C
5%
20°C
6%
21°C
18%
22°C
18%
23°C
27%
24°C
14%
25°C
12%
26°C
5%
27°C
3%
28°C or higher
1%
23°C 27%
22°C 18%
21°C 18%
24°C 14%
最新
最新
2026-04-05
18°C or below
$629 交易量
5%
19°C
$354 交易量
5%
20°C
$402 交易量
6%
21°C
$494 交易量
18%
22°C
$447 交易量
18%
23°C
$786 交易量
27%
24°C
$631 交易量
14%
25°C
$505 交易量
12%
26°C
$817 交易量
5%
27°C
$480 交易量
3%
28°C or higher
$884 交易量
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Latest ensemble forecasts from global models including GFS and ECMWF indicate Shanghai's highest temperature on April 5 clustering around 22-24°C, aligning with trader sentiment favoring 23°C at 26.5% implied probability, closely trailed by 22°C and 21°C. This positioning stems from recent model updates over the past 24 hours showing southerly winds and high pressure dominance after a brief cool-down projected for April 3-4, with highs rebounding above the early April climatological average of 19°C. Differentiating factors include uncertainty in afternoon cloud cover reducing solar insolation versus urban heat island amplification and sea breeze moderation. China Meteorological Administration daily bulletins and 12z model runs will provide key refinements before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市场开放时间： Apr 1, 2026, 6:02 AM ET
交易量
$6,430结束日期
2026-04-05市场开放时间
Apr 1, 2026, 6:02 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Latest ensemble forecasts from global models including GFS and ECMWF indicate Shanghai's highest temperature on April 5 clustering around 22-24°C, aligning with trader sentiment favoring 23°C at 26.5% implied probability, closely trailed by 22°C and 21°C. This positioning stems from recent model updates over the past 24 hours showing southerly winds and high pressure dominance after a brief cool-down projected for April 3-4, with highs rebounding above the early April climatological average of 19°C. Differentiating factors include uncertainty in afternoon cloud cover reducing solar insolation versus urban heat island amplification and sea breeze moderation. China Meteorological Administration daily bulletins and 12z model runs will provide key refinements before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
交易量
$6,430结束日期
2026-04-05市场开放时间
Apr 1, 2026, 6:02 AM ETLatest ensemble forecasts from global models including GFS and ECMWF indicate Shanghai's highest temperature on April 5 clustering around 22-24°C, aligning with trader sentiment favoring 23°C at 26.5% implied probability, closely trailed by 22°C and 21°C. This positioning stems from recent model updates over the past 24 hours showing southerly winds and high pressure dominance after a brief cool-down projected for April 3-4, with highs rebounding above the early April climatological average of 19°C. Differentiating factors include uncertainty in afternoon cloud cover reducing solar insolation versus urban heat island amplification and sea breeze moderation. China Meteorological Administration daily bulletins and 12z model runs will provide key refinements before resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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