Trader consensus on Polymarket prices the highest temperature in Seattle on April 1 at 48-49°F (49.5% implied probability) slightly ahead of 50-51°F (40.5%), reflecting National Weather Service forecast models like GFS and ECMWF ensembles that cluster outcomes in the upper 40s to low 50s amid a zonal upper-level flow pattern ushering cool maritime air from the Pacific. Persistent Puget Sound marine stratus limits daytime insolation and caps highs below the early April climatological normal of about 57°F, with recent March trends showing highs in the 50s under similar cloudy conditions. Differentiating the close leaders are model spreads on afternoon clearing timing and light southerly winds—faster dissipation favors 50-51°F, while stubborn clouds tilt toward 48-49°F. New 00z/12z runs and NWS updates expected within 24 hours could refine this uncertainty.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于Highest temperature in Seattle on April 1?
Highest temperature in Seattle on April 1?
48-49°F 52%
50-51°F 41%
46-47°F 15%
56-57°F 7.7%
NEW
NEW
Apr 1, 2026
43°F or below
7%
44-45°F
10%
46-47°F
13%
48-49°F
44%
50-51°F
41%
52-53°F
5%
54-55°F
5%
56-57°F
8%
58-59°F
1%
60-61°F
1%
62°F or higher
<1%
48-49°F 52%
50-51°F 41%
46-47°F 15%
56-57°F 7.7%
NEW
NEW
Apr 1, 2026
43°F or below
$160 交易量
7%
44-45°F
$115 交易量
10%
46-47°F
$123 交易量
13%
48-49°F
$295 交易量
44%
50-51°F
$244 交易量
41%
52-53°F
$88 交易量
5%
54-55°F
$173 交易量
5%
56-57°F
$121 交易量
8%
58-59°F
$386 交易量
1%
60-61°F
$386 交易量
1%
62°F or higher
$342 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 1 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket prices the highest temperature in Seattle on April 1 at 48-49°F (49.5% implied probability) slightly ahead of 50-51°F (40.5%), reflecting National Weather Service forecast models like GFS and ECMWF ensembles that cluster outcomes in the upper 40s to low 50s amid a zonal upper-level flow pattern ushering cool maritime air from the Pacific. Persistent Puget Sound marine stratus limits daytime insolation and caps highs below the early April climatological normal of about 57°F, with recent March trends showing highs in the 50s under similar cloudy conditions. Differentiating the close leaders are model spreads on afternoon clearing timing and light southerly winds—faster dissipation favors 50-51°F, while stubborn clouds tilt toward 48-49°F. New 00z/12z runs and NWS updates expected within 24 hours could refine this uncertainty.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 1 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市场开放时间： Mar 29, 2026, 2:23 PM ET
交易量
$2,433结束日期
Apr 1, 2026市场开放时间
Mar 29, 2026, 2:23 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEAResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 1 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket prices the highest temperature in Seattle on April 1 at 48-49°F (49.5% implied probability) slightly ahead of 50-51°F (40.5%), reflecting National Weather Service forecast models like GFS and ECMWF ensembles that cluster outcomes in the upper 40s to low 50s amid a zonal upper-level flow pattern ushering cool maritime air from the Pacific. Persistent Puget Sound marine stratus limits daytime insolation and caps highs below the early April climatological normal of about 57°F, with recent March trends showing highs in the 50s under similar cloudy conditions. Differentiating the close leaders are model spreads on afternoon clearing timing and light southerly winds—faster dissipation favors 50-51°F, while stubborn clouds tilt toward 48-49°F. New 00z/12z runs and NWS updates expected within 24 hours could refine this uncertainty.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 1 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
交易量
$2,433结束日期
Apr 1, 2026市场开放时间
Mar 29, 2026, 2:23 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket prices the highest temperature in Seattle on April 1 at 48-49°F (49.5% implied probability) slightly ahead of 50-51°F (40.5%), reflecting National Weather Service forecast models like GFS and ECMWF ensembles that cluster outcomes in the upper 40s to low 50s amid a zonal upper-level flow pattern ushering cool maritime air from the Pacific. Persistent Puget Sound marine stratus limits daytime insolation and caps highs below the early April climatological normal of about 57°F, with recent March trends showing highs in the 50s under similar cloudy conditions. Differentiating the close leaders are model spreads on afternoon clearing timing and light southerly winds—faster dissipation favors 50-51°F, while stubborn clouds tilt toward 48-49°F. New 00z/12z runs and NWS updates expected within 24 hours could refine this uncertainty.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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