The Meteorological Service Singapore's fortnightly outlook for early April 2026, released within the past week, forecasts the onset of inter-monsoon conditions with thundery afternoon showers across parts of the island, yet daily maximum temperatures ranging 33–35°C, anchoring trader sentiment with 32°C leading at 33.5% implied probability ahead of 31°C (26%) and 33°C (19%). This tight clustering underscores short-term forecast uncertainty, where extensive cloud cover and convective cooling from showers could suppress peaks to 31°C, while limited precipitation allows solar heating and urban heat island effects to reach 33°C or more, consistent with April's climatological highs of 31–32°C following March's record 35.4°C warmth. NEA daily forecast updates will refine model consensus before April 5 resolution based on official station measurements.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于Highest temperature in Singapore on April 5?
Highest temperature in Singapore on April 5?
32°C 35%
31°C 25%
33°C 22%
34°C 11%
$11,010 交易量
$11,010 交易量
25°C or below
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
1%
28°C
1%
29°C
2%
30°C
7%
31°C
25%
32°C
35%
33°C
22%
34°C
11%
35°C or higher
3%
32°C 35%
31°C 25%
33°C 22%
34°C 11%
$11,010 交易量
$11,010 交易量
25°C or below
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
1%
28°C
1%
29°C
2%
30°C
7%
31°C
25%
32°C
35%
33°C
22%
34°C
11%
35°C or higher
3%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Singapore Changi Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sg/singapore/WSSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市场开放时间: Apr 1, 2026, 6:07 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Singapore Changi Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sg/singapore/WSSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The Meteorological Service Singapore's fortnightly outlook for early April 2026, released within the past week, forecasts the onset of inter-monsoon conditions with thundery afternoon showers across parts of the island, yet daily maximum temperatures ranging 33–35°C, anchoring trader sentiment with 32°C leading at 33.5% implied probability ahead of 31°C (26%) and 33°C (19%). This tight clustering underscores short-term forecast uncertainty, where extensive cloud cover and convective cooling from showers could suppress peaks to 31°C, while limited precipitation allows solar heating and urban heat island effects to reach 33°C or more, consistent with April's climatological highs of 31–32°C following March's record 35.4°C warmth. NEA daily forecast updates will refine model consensus before April 5 resolution based on official station measurements.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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