Forecast model ensembles from NOAA and the National Weather Service indicate a tight spread around 71-73°F for Houston's highest temperature on April 5, fueling the neck-and-neck trader consensus on 70-71°F (21.5% implied probability), 72-73°F (21.0%), and 76°F or higher (19.5%). Key differentiators include uncertainty in upper-level ridging strength versus a potential weak shortwave trough, which could enhance solar heating and boundary layer mixing for higher readings or introduce mid-level clouds and lighter winds to suppress peaks near 70°F. Recent soundings show neutral lapse rates supporting either outcome, with warm near-surface soil moisture aiding rapid daytime warming. Daily GFS and ECMWF updates over the next 48 hours will clarify steering patterns and cloud cover ahead of resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于Highest temperature in Houston on April 5?
Highest temperature in Houston on April 5?
70-71°F 25%
72-73°F 22%
76°F or higher 20%
68-69°F 19%
最新
最新
2026-04-05
57°F or below
<1%
58-59°F
3%
60-61°F
3%
62-63°F
2%
64-65°F
3%
66-67°F
14%
68-69°F
19%
70-71°F
25%
72-73°F
22%
74-75°F
14%
76°F or higher
20%
70-71°F 25%
72-73°F 22%
76°F or higher 20%
68-69°F 19%
最新
最新
2026-04-05
57°F or below
$250 交易量
<1%
58-59°F
$231 交易量
3%
60-61°F
$140 交易量
3%
62-63°F
$105 交易量
2%
64-65°F
$104 交易量
3%
66-67°F
$280 交易量
14%
68-69°F
$217 交易量
19%
70-71°F
$225 交易量
25%
72-73°F
$175 交易量
22%
74-75°F
$147 交易量
14%
76°F or higher
$459 交易量
20%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 5 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the William P. Hobby Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Forecast model ensembles from NOAA and the National Weather Service indicate a tight spread around 71-73°F for Houston's highest temperature on April 5, fueling the neck-and-neck trader consensus on 70-71°F (21.5% implied probability), 72-73°F (21.0%), and 76°F or higher (19.5%). Key differentiators include uncertainty in upper-level ridging strength versus a potential weak shortwave trough, which could enhance solar heating and boundary layer mixing for higher readings or introduce mid-level clouds and lighter winds to suppress peaks near 70°F. Recent soundings show neutral lapse rates supporting either outcome, with warm near-surface soil moisture aiding rapid daytime warming. Daily GFS and ECMWF updates over the next 48 hours will clarify steering patterns and cloud cover ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 5 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the William P. Hobby Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the William P. Hobby Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市场开放时间： Apr 1, 2026, 6:40 AM ET
交易量
$2,334结束日期
2026-04-05市场开放时间
Apr 1, 2026, 6:40 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 5 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the William P. Hobby Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Forecast model ensembles from NOAA and the National Weather Service indicate a tight spread around 71-73°F for Houston's highest temperature on April 5, fueling the neck-and-neck trader consensus on 70-71°F (21.5% implied probability), 72-73°F (21.0%), and 76°F or higher (19.5%). Key differentiators include uncertainty in upper-level ridging strength versus a potential weak shortwave trough, which could enhance solar heating and boundary layer mixing for higher readings or introduce mid-level clouds and lighter winds to suppress peaks near 70°F. Recent soundings show neutral lapse rates supporting either outcome, with warm near-surface soil moisture aiding rapid daytime warming. Daily GFS and ECMWF updates over the next 48 hours will clarify steering patterns and cloud cover ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 5 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the William P. Hobby Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the William P. Hobby Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
交易量
$2,334结束日期
2026-04-05市场开放时间
Apr 1, 2026, 6:40 AM ETForecast model ensembles from NOAA and the National Weather Service indicate a tight spread around 71-73°F for Houston's highest temperature on April 5, fueling the neck-and-neck trader consensus on 70-71°F (21.5% implied probability), 72-73°F (21.0%), and 76°F or higher (19.5%). Key differentiators include uncertainty in upper-level ridging strength versus a potential weak shortwave trough, which could enhance solar heating and boundary layer mixing for higher readings or introduce mid-level clouds and lighter winds to suppress peaks near 70°F. Recent soundings show neutral lapse rates supporting either outcome, with warm near-surface soil moisture aiding rapid daytime warming. Daily GFS and ECMWF updates over the next 48 hours will clarify steering patterns and cloud cover ahead of resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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