Trader consensus on Polymarket tightly clusters around 7–9°C (implied probabilities 19–23%) for Moscow's highest temperature on April 6, driven by the latest ECMWF and GFS ensemble forecasts showing 2-meter temperature maxima averaging 8°C amid transitional spring patterns. Recent warmth peaked at 14–19°C on April 1–2 under a fleeting high-pressure ridge, but northerly winds and overcast conditions in updated Roshydromet guidance signal cooling, aligning with early-April climatological norms of 7–10°C highs. Differentiating factors include model spreads on cloud breaks—persistent overcast caps peaks at 6–7°C, while transient sunshine could lift to 10–11°C. Ensemble uncertainty remains high at T+3; monitor 00Z/12Z runs for refinements ahead of official Vnukovo observations.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于Highest temperature in Moscow on April 6?
Highest temperature in Moscow on April 6?
9°C 23%
10°C 17%
8°C 14%
7°C 11%
最新
最新
2026-04-06
5°C or below
5%
6°C
13%
7°C
19%
8°C
21%
9°C
23%
10°C
17%
11°C
16%
12°C
7%
13°C
7%
14°C
5%
15°C or higher
3%
9°C 23%
10°C 17%
8°C 14%
7°C 11%
最新
最新
2026-04-06
5°C or below
$232 交易量
5%
6°C
$7 交易量
13%
7°C
$40 交易量
19%
8°C
$17 交易量
21%
9°C
$29 交易量
23%
10°C
$24 交易量
17%
11°C
$17 交易量
16%
12°C
$30 交易量
7%
13°C
$48 交易量
7%
14°C
$53 交易量
5%
15°C or higher
$143 交易量
3%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 6 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket tightly clusters around 7–9°C (implied probabilities 19–23%) for Moscow's highest temperature on April 6, driven by the latest ECMWF and GFS ensemble forecasts showing 2-meter temperature maxima averaging 8°C amid transitional spring patterns. Recent warmth peaked at 14–19°C on April 1–2 under a fleeting high-pressure ridge, but northerly winds and overcast conditions in updated Roshydromet guidance signal cooling, aligning with early-April climatological norms of 7–10°C highs. Differentiating factors include model spreads on cloud breaks—persistent overcast caps peaks at 6–7°C, while transient sunshine could lift to 10–11°C. Ensemble uncertainty remains high at T+3; monitor 00Z/12Z runs for refinements ahead of official Vnukovo observations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 6 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市场开放时间： Apr 2, 2026, 6:37 AM ET
交易量
$641结束日期
2026-04-06市场开放时间
Apr 2, 2026, 6:37 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 6 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket tightly clusters around 7–9°C (implied probabilities 19–23%) for Moscow's highest temperature on April 6, driven by the latest ECMWF and GFS ensemble forecasts showing 2-meter temperature maxima averaging 8°C amid transitional spring patterns. Recent warmth peaked at 14–19°C on April 1–2 under a fleeting high-pressure ridge, but northerly winds and overcast conditions in updated Roshydromet guidance signal cooling, aligning with early-April climatological norms of 7–10°C highs. Differentiating factors include model spreads on cloud breaks—persistent overcast caps peaks at 6–7°C, while transient sunshine could lift to 10–11°C. Ensemble uncertainty remains high at T+3; monitor 00Z/12Z runs for refinements ahead of official Vnukovo observations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 6 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
交易量
$641结束日期
2026-04-06市场开放时间
Apr 2, 2026, 6:37 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket tightly clusters around 7–9°C (implied probabilities 19–23%) for Moscow's highest temperature on April 6, driven by the latest ECMWF and GFS ensemble forecasts showing 2-meter temperature maxima averaging 8°C amid transitional spring patterns. Recent warmth peaked at 14–19°C on April 1–2 under a fleeting high-pressure ridge, but northerly winds and overcast conditions in updated Roshydromet guidance signal cooling, aligning with early-April climatological norms of 7–10°C highs. Differentiating factors include model spreads on cloud breaks—persistent overcast caps peaks at 6–7°C, while transient sunshine could lift to 10–11°C. Ensemble uncertainty remains high at T+3; monitor 00Z/12Z runs for refinements ahead of official Vnukovo observations.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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