Latest ensemble forecasts from ECMWF, GFS, and Roshydromet indicate a high temperature near 8–10°C for Moscow on April 5, driving trader consensus toward those outcomes amid tightly matched implied probabilities. After an abnormally warm start to April with highs approaching 18°C on April 1 due to a transient ridge, models now project cooling from northerly cold air advection and increased cloud cover, potentially limiting peaks. Key differentiators include model spread on cloudiness and shower timing—denser overcast could cap highs at 7°C or below, while clearer skies might push toward 11–12°C. Early April climatology averages 6°C, with current 2–4°C positive anomalies; new 00Z/12Z runs expected to refine uncertainty.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于4月5日莫斯科最高气温？
4月5日莫斯科最高气温？
7°C或以下 27%
8°C 16%
9°C 16%
12°C 12%
最新
最新
2026-04-05
7°C或以下
20%
8°C
16%
9°C
16%
10°C
12%
11°C
12%
12°C
12%
13°C
10%
14°C
9%
15°C
9%
16°C
1%
17°C或更高
1%
7°C或以下 27%
8°C 16%
9°C 16%
12°C 12%
最新
最新
2026-04-05
7°C或以下
$4 交易量
20%
8°C
$0 交易量
16%
9°C
$0 交易量
16%
10°C
$0 交易量
12%
11°C
$0 交易量
12%
12°C
$0 交易量
12%
13°C
$0 交易量
10%
14°C
$0 交易量
9%
15°C
$3 交易量
9%
16°C
$452 交易量
1%
17°C或更高
$285 交易量
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 5 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Latest ensemble forecasts from ECMWF, GFS, and Roshydromet indicate a high temperature near 8–10°C for Moscow on April 5, driving trader consensus toward those outcomes amid tightly matched implied probabilities. After an abnormally warm start to April with highs approaching 18°C on April 1 due to a transient ridge, models now project cooling from northerly cold air advection and increased cloud cover, potentially limiting peaks. Key differentiators include model spread on cloudiness and shower timing—denser overcast could cap highs at 7°C or below, while clearer skies might push toward 11–12°C. Early April climatology averages 6°C, with current 2–4°C positive anomalies; new 00Z/12Z runs expected to refine uncertainty.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 5 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市场开放时间： Apr 1, 2026, 6:04 AM ET
交易量
$744结束日期
2026-04-05市场开放时间
Apr 1, 2026, 6:04 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 5 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Latest ensemble forecasts from ECMWF, GFS, and Roshydromet indicate a high temperature near 8–10°C for Moscow on April 5, driving trader consensus toward those outcomes amid tightly matched implied probabilities. After an abnormally warm start to April with highs approaching 18°C on April 1 due to a transient ridge, models now project cooling from northerly cold air advection and increased cloud cover, potentially limiting peaks. Key differentiators include model spread on cloudiness and shower timing—denser overcast could cap highs at 7°C or below, while clearer skies might push toward 11–12°C. Early April climatology averages 6°C, with current 2–4°C positive anomalies; new 00Z/12Z runs expected to refine uncertainty.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 5 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
交易量
$744结束日期
2026-04-05市场开放时间
Apr 1, 2026, 6:04 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Latest ensemble forecasts from ECMWF, GFS, and Roshydromet indicate a high temperature near 8–10°C for Moscow on April 5, driving trader consensus toward those outcomes amid tightly matched implied probabilities. After an abnormally warm start to April with highs approaching 18°C on April 1 due to a transient ridge, models now project cooling from northerly cold air advection and increased cloud cover, potentially limiting peaks. Key differentiators include model spread on cloudiness and shower timing—denser overcast could cap highs at 7°C or below, while clearer skies might push toward 11–12°C. Early April climatology averages 6°C, with current 2–4°C positive anomalies; new 00Z/12Z runs expected to refine uncertainty.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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