Korea Meteorological Administration short-range forecasts, updated as of April 2, drive trader consensus toward a tightly clustered 11–14°C range for Seoul's highest temperature on April 5, with 12°C leading at 22% implied probability amid expected weekend rainfall from a low-pressure frontal system bringing 5–20 mm precipitation and 40–60% shower odds. Recent warmer-than-average early April conditions (highs above 20°C mid-week) accelerated cherry blossoms but now yield to cloudy skies suppressing insolation and capping daytime heating, while Incheon International Airport station—market resolution site—typically reads 1–2°C cooler than central Seoul. Differentiating factors include forecast model spread (GFS warmer/drier vs. ECMWF cooler/wetter), precise frontal timing allowing potential sun breaks for 15–16°C, and light southerly winds moderating advection; monitor twice-daily KMA updates for refinements before resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于Highest temperature in Seoul on April 5?
Highest temperature in Seoul on April 5?
12°C 22%
13°C 19%
16°C or higher 16%
14°C 15%
最新
$13,902 交易量
最新
$13,902 交易量
2026-04-05
6°C or below
<1%
7°C
<1%
8°C
3%
9°C
6%
10°C
7%
11°C
14%
12°C
22%
13°C
19%
14°C
15%
15°C
12%
16°C or higher
16%
12°C 22%
13°C 19%
16°C or higher 16%
14°C 15%
最新
$13,902 交易量
最新
$13,902 交易量
2026-04-05
6°C or below
$1,650 交易量
<1%
7°C
$1,772 交易量
<1%
8°C
$1,553 交易量
3%
9°C
$953 交易量
6%
10°C
$1,396 交易量
7%
11°C
$1,034 交易量
14%
12°C
$1,162 交易量
22%
13°C
$887 交易量
19%
14°C
$1,040 交易量
15%
15°C
$896 交易量
12%
16°C or higher
$1,559 交易量
16%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Korea Meteorological Administration short-range forecasts, updated as of April 2, drive trader consensus toward a tightly clustered 11–14°C range for Seoul's highest temperature on April 5, with 12°C leading at 22% implied probability amid expected weekend rainfall from a low-pressure frontal system bringing 5–20 mm precipitation and 40–60% shower odds. Recent warmer-than-average early April conditions (highs above 20°C mid-week) accelerated cherry blossoms but now yield to cloudy skies suppressing insolation and capping daytime heating, while Incheon International Airport station—market resolution site—typically reads 1–2°C cooler than central Seoul. Differentiating factors include forecast model spread (GFS warmer/drier vs. ECMWF cooler/wetter), precise frontal timing allowing potential sun breaks for 15–16°C, and light southerly winds moderating advection; monitor twice-daily KMA updates for refinements before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市场开放时间： Apr 1, 2026, 6:02 AM ET
交易量
$13,902结束日期
2026-04-05市场开放时间
Apr 1, 2026, 6:02 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Korea Meteorological Administration short-range forecasts, updated as of April 2, drive trader consensus toward a tightly clustered 11–14°C range for Seoul's highest temperature on April 5, with 12°C leading at 22% implied probability amid expected weekend rainfall from a low-pressure frontal system bringing 5–20 mm precipitation and 40–60% shower odds. Recent warmer-than-average early April conditions (highs above 20°C mid-week) accelerated cherry blossoms but now yield to cloudy skies suppressing insolation and capping daytime heating, while Incheon International Airport station—market resolution site—typically reads 1–2°C cooler than central Seoul. Differentiating factors include forecast model spread (GFS warmer/drier vs. ECMWF cooler/wetter), precise frontal timing allowing potential sun breaks for 15–16°C, and light southerly winds moderating advection; monitor twice-daily KMA updates for refinements before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
交易量
$13,902结束日期
2026-04-05市场开放时间
Apr 1, 2026, 6:02 AM ETKorea Meteorological Administration short-range forecasts, updated as of April 2, drive trader consensus toward a tightly clustered 11–14°C range for Seoul's highest temperature on April 5, with 12°C leading at 22% implied probability amid expected weekend rainfall from a low-pressure frontal system bringing 5–20 mm precipitation and 40–60% shower odds. Recent warmer-than-average early April conditions (highs above 20°C mid-week) accelerated cherry blossoms but now yield to cloudy skies suppressing insolation and capping daytime heating, while Incheon International Airport station—market resolution site—typically reads 1–2°C cooler than central Seoul. Differentiating factors include forecast model spread (GFS warmer/drier vs. ECMWF cooler/wetter), precise frontal timing allowing potential sun breaks for 15–16°C, and light southerly winds moderating advection; monitor twice-daily KMA updates for refinements before resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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