Latest short-range forecast ensembles from global models like ECMWF and GFS, corroborated by services such as AccuWeather and Meteoblue, project Wuhan's diurnal maximum temperature on April 2 near 20-22°C, explaining the tight clustering of market-implied probabilities around 18-24°C outcomes with 22°C edging ahead at 25.5%. Key differentiators include lingering cloudiness from a recent cool frontal passage over the past 48 hours—yielding March 30 highs near 18°C—and potential clearing under building subtropical ridge influence, which could vary highs by 2-3°C via differential solar insolation and southerly wind speeds. Early-April climatology averages 20°C highs per long-term records, underscoring trader caution amid model spread; monitor China Meteorological Administration bulletins and 00Z/12Z updates for refined guidance ahead of resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于4月2日武汉最高气温？
4月2日武汉最高气温？
20°C 21%
18°C 15%
19°C 15%
22°C 13%
NEW
NEW
Apr 2, 2026
17°C或以下
11%
18°C
15%
19°C
15%
20°C
21%
21°C
16%
22°C
20%
23°C
12%
24°C
21%
25°C
9%
26°C
9%
27°C或更高
2%
20°C 21%
18°C 15%
19°C 15%
22°C 13%
NEW
NEW
Apr 2, 2026
17°C或以下
$20 交易量
11%
18°C
$7 交易量
15%
19°C
$32 交易量
15%
20°C
$13 交易量
21%
21°C
$7 交易量
16%
22°C
$7 交易量
20%
23°C
$108 交易量
12%
24°C
$95 交易量
21%
25°C
$32 交易量
9%
26°C
$7 交易量
9%
27°C或更高
$93 交易量
2%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Latest short-range forecast ensembles from global models like ECMWF and GFS, corroborated by services such as AccuWeather and Meteoblue, project Wuhan's diurnal maximum temperature on April 2 near 20-22°C, explaining the tight clustering of market-implied probabilities around 18-24°C outcomes with 22°C edging ahead at 25.5%. Key differentiators include lingering cloudiness from a recent cool frontal passage over the past 48 hours—yielding March 30 highs near 18°C—and potential clearing under building subtropical ridge influence, which could vary highs by 2-3°C via differential solar insolation and southerly wind speeds. Early-April climatology averages 20°C highs per long-term records, underscoring trader caution amid model spread; monitor China Meteorological Administration bulletins and 00Z/12Z updates for refined guidance ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市场开放时间： Mar 29, 2026, 2:25 PM ET
交易量
$421结束日期
Apr 2, 2026市场开放时间
Mar 29, 2026, 2:25 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHHResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Latest short-range forecast ensembles from global models like ECMWF and GFS, corroborated by services such as AccuWeather and Meteoblue, project Wuhan's diurnal maximum temperature on April 2 near 20-22°C, explaining the tight clustering of market-implied probabilities around 18-24°C outcomes with 22°C edging ahead at 25.5%. Key differentiators include lingering cloudiness from a recent cool frontal passage over the past 48 hours—yielding March 30 highs near 18°C—and potential clearing under building subtropical ridge influence, which could vary highs by 2-3°C via differential solar insolation and southerly wind speeds. Early-April climatology averages 20°C highs per long-term records, underscoring trader caution amid model spread; monitor China Meteorological Administration bulletins and 00Z/12Z updates for refined guidance ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
交易量
$421结束日期
Apr 2, 2026市场开放时间
Mar 29, 2026, 2:25 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHHResolver
0x69c47De9D...Latest short-range forecast ensembles from global models like ECMWF and GFS, corroborated by services such as AccuWeather and Meteoblue, project Wuhan's diurnal maximum temperature on April 2 near 20-22°C, explaining the tight clustering of market-implied probabilities around 18-24°C outcomes with 22°C edging ahead at 25.5%. Key differentiators include lingering cloudiness from a recent cool frontal passage over the past 48 hours—yielding March 30 highs near 18°C—and potential clearing under building subtropical ridge influence, which could vary highs by 2-3°C via differential solar insolation and southerly wind speeds. Early-April climatology averages 20°C highs per long-term records, underscoring trader caution amid model spread; monitor China Meteorological Administration bulletins and 00Z/12Z updates for refined guidance ahead of resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题