Latest National Weather Service guidance and GFS/ECMWF ensemble consensus forecast a high temperature around 63-67°F in New York City on April 5, driving trader sentiment toward 67°F or below at 72.5% implied probability, with 68-69°F next at 14.5%. This positioning reflects a persistent cool northerly flow following a recent cold front, as evidenced by Central Park's April 2 maximum of 51°F—5°F below the 56°F climatological normal—amid an upper-level trough over the Northeast suppressing warm air advection. Early April climatology typically sees highs near 58°F, with cloud cover and frontal timing limiting significant warming. New 00z/12z model runs expected today could adjust probabilities, though ensemble means show low spread; resolution hinges on the official LaGuardia Airport observation.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于Highest temperature in NYC on April 5?
Highest temperature in NYC on April 5?
67°F or below 72%
68-69°F 12%
70-71°F 6%
72-73°F 3.3%
最新
$17,334 交易量
最新
$17,334 交易量
2026-04-05
67°F or below
72%
68-69°F
12%
70-71°F
6%
72-73°F
3%
74-75°F
2%
76-77°F
1%
78-79°F
1%
80-81°F
1%
82-83°F
<1%
84-85°F
<1%
86°F or higher
<1%
67°F or below 72%
68-69°F 12%
70-71°F 6%
72-73°F 3.3%
最新
$17,334 交易量
最新
$17,334 交易量
2026-04-05
67°F or below
$2,459 交易量
72%
68-69°F
$1,941 交易量
12%
70-71°F
$1,306 交易量
6%
72-73°F
$1,019 交易量
3%
74-75°F
$1,191 交易量
2%
76-77°F
$2,180 交易量
1%
78-79°F
$1,952 交易量
1%
80-81°F
$1,439 交易量
1%
82-83°F
$1,024 交易量
<1%
84-85°F
$1,455 交易量
<1%
86°F or higher
$1,388 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 5 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Latest National Weather Service guidance and GFS/ECMWF ensemble consensus forecast a high temperature around 63-67°F in New York City on April 5, driving trader sentiment toward 67°F or below at 72.5% implied probability, with 68-69°F next at 14.5%. This positioning reflects a persistent cool northerly flow following a recent cold front, as evidenced by Central Park's April 2 maximum of 51°F—5°F below the 56°F climatological normal—amid an upper-level trough over the Northeast suppressing warm air advection. Early April climatology typically sees highs near 58°F, with cloud cover and frontal timing limiting significant warming. New 00z/12z model runs expected today could adjust probabilities, though ensemble means show low spread; resolution hinges on the official LaGuardia Airport observation.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 5 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市场开放时间： Apr 1, 2026, 6:02 AM ET
交易量
$17,334结束日期
2026-04-05市场开放时间
Apr 1, 2026, 6:02 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 5 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Latest National Weather Service guidance and GFS/ECMWF ensemble consensus forecast a high temperature around 63-67°F in New York City on April 5, driving trader sentiment toward 67°F or below at 72.5% implied probability, with 68-69°F next at 14.5%. This positioning reflects a persistent cool northerly flow following a recent cold front, as evidenced by Central Park's April 2 maximum of 51°F—5°F below the 56°F climatological normal—amid an upper-level trough over the Northeast suppressing warm air advection. Early April climatology typically sees highs near 58°F, with cloud cover and frontal timing limiting significant warming. New 00z/12z model runs expected today could adjust probabilities, though ensemble means show low spread; resolution hinges on the official LaGuardia Airport observation.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 5 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
交易量
$17,334结束日期
2026-04-05市场开放时间
Apr 1, 2026, 6:02 AM ETLatest National Weather Service guidance and GFS/ECMWF ensemble consensus forecast a high temperature around 63-67°F in New York City on April 5, driving trader sentiment toward 67°F or below at 72.5% implied probability, with 68-69°F next at 14.5%. This positioning reflects a persistent cool northerly flow following a recent cold front, as evidenced by Central Park's April 2 maximum of 51°F—5°F below the 56°F climatological normal—amid an upper-level trough over the Northeast suppressing warm air advection. Early April climatology typically sees highs near 58°F, with cloud cover and frontal timing limiting significant warming. New 00z/12z model runs expected today could adjust probabilities, though ensemble means show low spread; resolution hinges on the official LaGuardia Airport observation.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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