Latest National Weather Service guidance and GFS/ECMWF ensemble means project a high temperature near 55°F at LaGuardia Airport on April 6, reflecting a trader consensus split between 54-55°F (28.5% implied probability) and 56-57°F (26.5%), as an approaching cold front stalls nearby after passage on April 5. Key differentiators include model spread on frontal timing—earlier clearance favors mid-50s via stronger boundary-layer mixing under northwest winds, while lingering clouds or slower progression could cap highs at 52-53°F. Climatological early-April norms hover around 56°F amid ENSO-neutral conditions, with uncertainty amplified by divergent 00Z runs; monitor afternoon NWS updates and 12Z model refreshes for shifts before resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于Highest temperature in NYC on April 6?
Highest temperature in NYC on April 6?
54-55°F 29%
56-57°F 27%
52-53°F 15%
58-59°F 15%
$17,275 交易量
$17,275 交易量
2026-04-06
47°F or below
2%
48-49°F
4%
50-51°F
7%
52-53°F
15%
54-55°F
29%
56-57°F
27%
58-59°F
15%
60-61°F
3%
62-63°F
3%
64-65°F
1%
66°F or higher
1%
54-55°F 29%
56-57°F 27%
52-53°F 15%
58-59°F 15%
$17,275 交易量
$17,275 交易量
2026-04-06
47°F or below
$2,775 交易量
2%
48-49°F
$2,784 交易量
4%
50-51°F
$1,787 交易量
7%
52-53°F
$1,263 交易量
15%
54-55°F
$1,479 交易量
29%
56-57°F
$1,161 交易量
27%
58-59°F
$1,283 交易量
15%
60-61°F
$644 交易量
3%
62-63°F
$1,862 交易量
3%
64-65°F
$1,652 交易量
1%
66°F or higher
$2,093 交易量
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 6 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Latest National Weather Service guidance and GFS/ECMWF ensemble means project a high temperature near 55°F at LaGuardia Airport on April 6, reflecting a trader consensus split between 54-55°F (28.5% implied probability) and 56-57°F (26.5%), as an approaching cold front stalls nearby after passage on April 5. Key differentiators include model spread on frontal timing—earlier clearance favors mid-50s via stronger boundary-layer mixing under northwest winds, while lingering clouds or slower progression could cap highs at 52-53°F. Climatological early-April norms hover around 56°F amid ENSO-neutral conditions, with uncertainty amplified by divergent 00Z runs; monitor afternoon NWS updates and 12Z model refreshes for shifts before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 6 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市场开放时间： Apr 2, 2026, 6:02 AM ET
交易量
$17,275结束日期
2026-04-06市场开放时间
Apr 2, 2026, 6:02 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 6 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Latest National Weather Service guidance and GFS/ECMWF ensemble means project a high temperature near 55°F at LaGuardia Airport on April 6, reflecting a trader consensus split between 54-55°F (28.5% implied probability) and 56-57°F (26.5%), as an approaching cold front stalls nearby after passage on April 5. Key differentiators include model spread on frontal timing—earlier clearance favors mid-50s via stronger boundary-layer mixing under northwest winds, while lingering clouds or slower progression could cap highs at 52-53°F. Climatological early-April norms hover around 56°F amid ENSO-neutral conditions, with uncertainty amplified by divergent 00Z runs; monitor afternoon NWS updates and 12Z model refreshes for shifts before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 6 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
交易量
$17,275结束日期
2026-04-06市场开放时间
Apr 2, 2026, 6:02 AM ETLatest National Weather Service guidance and GFS/ECMWF ensemble means project a high temperature near 55°F at LaGuardia Airport on April 6, reflecting a trader consensus split between 54-55°F (28.5% implied probability) and 56-57°F (26.5%), as an approaching cold front stalls nearby after passage on April 5. Key differentiators include model spread on frontal timing—earlier clearance favors mid-50s via stronger boundary-layer mixing under northwest winds, while lingering clouds or slower progression could cap highs at 52-53°F. Climatological early-April norms hover around 56°F amid ENSO-neutral conditions, with uncertainty amplified by divergent 00Z runs; monitor afternoon NWS updates and 12Z model refreshes for shifts before resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题