Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects tight uncertainty in short-range forecast models for Buenos Aires' highest temperature on April 8, with GFS and ECMWF ensembles projecting peak highs clustered between 20°C and 23°C amid divergent runs—some favoring slight warming under high-pressure ridging and northerly winds, others cooler persistence from recent southerly flows and partial cloud cover. Recent observations through April 5 show below-average maxima around 17-19°C influenced by a passing cool air mass, tempering optimism for 23°C or higher despite early April climatological averages near 23°C. Key differentiators include evolving sea breeze effects from the Río de la Plata and frontal boundary timing; watch Servicio Meteorológico Nacional updates and overnight model refreshes for shifts before resolution based on official airport station data.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于Highest temperature in Buenos Aires on April 8?
Highest temperature in Buenos Aires on April 8?
23°C or higher 34%
21°C 25%
22°C 24%
20°C 19%
最新
最新
2026-04-08
13°C or below
<1%
14°C
<1%
15°C
1%
16°C
1%
17°C
5%
18°C
5%
19°C
9%
20°C
19%
21°C
18%
22°C
24%
23°C or higher
28%
23°C or higher 34%
21°C 25%
22°C 24%
20°C 19%
最新
最新
2026-04-08
13°C or below
$295 交易量
<1%
14°C
$251 交易量
<1%
15°C
$322 交易量
1%
16°C
$294 交易量
1%
17°C
$248 交易量
5%
18°C
$67 交易量
5%
19°C
$7 交易量
9%
20°C
$24 交易量
19%
21°C
$9 交易量
18%
22°C
$7 交易量
24%
23°C or higher
$19 交易量
28%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects tight uncertainty in short-range forecast models for Buenos Aires' highest temperature on April 8, with GFS and ECMWF ensembles projecting peak highs clustered between 20°C and 23°C amid divergent runs—some favoring slight warming under high-pressure ridging and northerly winds, others cooler persistence from recent southerly flows and partial cloud cover. Recent observations through April 5 show below-average maxima around 17-19°C influenced by a passing cool air mass, tempering optimism for 23°C or higher despite early April climatological averages near 23°C. Key differentiators include evolving sea breeze effects from the Río de la Plata and frontal boundary timing; watch Servicio Meteorológico Nacional updates and overnight model refreshes for shifts before resolution based on official airport station data.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市场开放时间： Apr 4, 2026, 12:11 AM ET
交易量
$1,544结束日期
2026-04-08市场开放时间
Apr 4, 2026, 12:11 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects tight uncertainty in short-range forecast models for Buenos Aires' highest temperature on April 8, with GFS and ECMWF ensembles projecting peak highs clustered between 20°C and 23°C amid divergent runs—some favoring slight warming under high-pressure ridging and northerly winds, others cooler persistence from recent southerly flows and partial cloud cover. Recent observations through April 5 show below-average maxima around 17-19°C influenced by a passing cool air mass, tempering optimism for 23°C or higher despite early April climatological averages near 23°C. Key differentiators include evolving sea breeze effects from the Río de la Plata and frontal boundary timing; watch Servicio Meteorológico Nacional updates and overnight model refreshes for shifts before resolution based on official airport station data.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
交易量
$1,544结束日期
2026-04-08市场开放时间
Apr 4, 2026, 12:11 AM ETTrader consensus on Polymarket reflects tight uncertainty in short-range forecast models for Buenos Aires' highest temperature on April 8, with GFS and ECMWF ensembles projecting peak highs clustered between 20°C and 23°C amid divergent runs—some favoring slight warming under high-pressure ridging and northerly winds, others cooler persistence from recent southerly flows and partial cloud cover. Recent observations through April 5 show below-average maxima around 17-19°C influenced by a passing cool air mass, tempering optimism for 23°C or higher despite early April climatological averages near 23°C. Key differentiators include evolving sea breeze effects from the Río de la Plata and frontal boundary timing; watch Servicio Meteorológico Nacional updates and overnight model refreshes for shifts before resolution based on official airport station data.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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