Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns a 50.5% implied probability to a highest temperature of 24°C or higher in Chongqing on April 8, reflecting forecast model consensus from sources like the China Meteorological Administration projecting daytime highs near 23°C amid patchy rain and cloudy skies. Recent observational data shows a sharp cool-down after April 4's observed high near 29°C, with April 5 forecasts at 23-26°C under light rain transitioning to cooler 18-19°C on April 6-7 due to frontal systems bringing persistent moisture and high humidity around 70%. These conditions suppress solar heating, though brief clearing could push temperatures into the low 24s; updated China Meteorological Administration guidance expected April 6-7 may refine probabilities as model ensembles account for steering patterns and cloud evolution in subtropical spring conditions.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于Highest temperature in Chongqing on April 8?
Highest temperature in Chongqing on April 8?
24°C or higher 53%
23°C 16%
21°C 14%
22°C 10%
最新
最新
2026-04-08
14°C or below
1%
15°C
1%
16°C
1%
17°C
1%
18°C
2%
19°C
4%
20°C
8%
21°C
14%
22°C
10%
23°C
16%
24°C or higher
53%
24°C or higher 53%
23°C 16%
21°C 14%
22°C 10%
最新
最新
2026-04-08
14°C or below
$224 交易量
1%
15°C
$210 交易量
1%
16°C
$294 交易量
1%
17°C
$253 交易量
1%
18°C
$52 交易量
2%
19°C
$37 交易量
4%
20°C
$16 交易量
8%
21°C
$45 交易量
14%
22°C
$16 交易量
10%
23°C
$21 交易量
16%
24°C or higher
$186 交易量
53%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns a 50.5% implied probability to a highest temperature of 24°C or higher in Chongqing on April 8, reflecting forecast model consensus from sources like the China Meteorological Administration projecting daytime highs near 23°C amid patchy rain and cloudy skies. Recent observational data shows a sharp cool-down after April 4's observed high near 29°C, with April 5 forecasts at 23-26°C under light rain transitioning to cooler 18-19°C on April 6-7 due to frontal systems bringing persistent moisture and high humidity around 70%. These conditions suppress solar heating, though brief clearing could push temperatures into the low 24s; updated China Meteorological Administration guidance expected April 6-7 may refine probabilities as model ensembles account for steering patterns and cloud evolution in subtropical spring conditions.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市场开放时间： Apr 4, 2026, 12:37 AM ET
交易量
$1,352结束日期
2026-04-08市场开放时间
Apr 4, 2026, 12:37 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns a 50.5% implied probability to a highest temperature of 24°C or higher in Chongqing on April 8, reflecting forecast model consensus from sources like the China Meteorological Administration projecting daytime highs near 23°C amid patchy rain and cloudy skies. Recent observational data shows a sharp cool-down after April 4's observed high near 29°C, with April 5 forecasts at 23-26°C under light rain transitioning to cooler 18-19°C on April 6-7 due to frontal systems bringing persistent moisture and high humidity around 70%. These conditions suppress solar heating, though brief clearing could push temperatures into the low 24s; updated China Meteorological Administration guidance expected April 6-7 may refine probabilities as model ensembles account for steering patterns and cloud evolution in subtropical spring conditions.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
交易量
$1,352结束日期
2026-04-08市场开放时间
Apr 4, 2026, 12:37 AM ETTrader consensus on Polymarket assigns a 50.5% implied probability to a highest temperature of 24°C or higher in Chongqing on April 8, reflecting forecast model consensus from sources like the China Meteorological Administration projecting daytime highs near 23°C amid patchy rain and cloudy skies. Recent observational data shows a sharp cool-down after April 4's observed high near 29°C, with April 5 forecasts at 23-26°C under light rain transitioning to cooler 18-19°C on April 6-7 due to frontal systems bringing persistent moisture and high humidity around 70%. These conditions suppress solar heating, though brief clearing could push temperatures into the low 24s; updated China Meteorological Administration guidance expected April 6-7 may refine probabilities as model ensembles account for steering patterns and cloud evolution in subtropical spring conditions.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题