Trader consensus on Polymarket shows a tight split between 17°C or below (41%) and 27°C or higher (40%), highlighting deep uncertainty in five-day forecasts for Tel Aviv's April 4 high temperature amid early spring variability in the Mediterranean climate. Climatological averages from historical data place typical highs at 22-23°C, but ensemble spreads in models like ECMWF and GFS reflect divergent scenarios: potential cool, rainy conditions from passing fronts dropping peaks near 17°C, versus hot sharav winds from the southeast driving extremes above 27°C. No significant developments in the past week, such as unusual atmospheric blocking, have tipped the balance; traders await daily updates from the Israel Meteorological Service for refined guidance on cloud cover, wind patterns, and peak heating potential.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于Highest temperature in Tel Aviv on April 4?
Highest temperature in Tel Aviv on April 4?
17°C or below 41%
27°C or higher 38%
23°C 22%
22°C 21%
NEW
NEW
Apr 4, 2026
17°C or below
41%
18°C
17%
19°C
16%
20°C
16%
21°C
16%
22°C
21%
23°C
22%
24°C
16%
25°C
14%
26°C
12%
27°C or higher
38%
17°C or below 41%
27°C or higher 38%
23°C 22%
22°C 21%
NEW
NEW
Apr 4, 2026
17°C or below
$0 交易量
41%
18°C
$0 交易量
17%
19°C
$0 交易量
16%
20°C
$0 交易量
16%
21°C
$0 交易量
16%
22°C
$0 交易量
21%
23°C
$0 交易量
22%
24°C
$0 交易量
16%
25°C
$0 交易量
14%
26°C
$0 交易量
12%
27°C or higher
$5 交易量
38%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 4 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket shows a tight split between 17°C or below (41%) and 27°C or higher (40%), highlighting deep uncertainty in five-day forecasts for Tel Aviv's April 4 high temperature amid early spring variability in the Mediterranean climate. Climatological averages from historical data place typical highs at 22-23°C, but ensemble spreads in models like ECMWF and GFS reflect divergent scenarios: potential cool, rainy conditions from passing fronts dropping peaks near 17°C, versus hot sharav winds from the southeast driving extremes above 27°C. No significant developments in the past week, such as unusual atmospheric blocking, have tipped the balance; traders await daily updates from the Israel Meteorological Service for refined guidance on cloud cover, wind patterns, and peak heating potential.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 4 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市场开放时间： Mar 29, 2026, 3:42 PM ET
交易量
$5结束日期
Apr 4, 2026市场开放时间
Mar 29, 2026, 3:42 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 4 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket shows a tight split between 17°C or below (41%) and 27°C or higher (40%), highlighting deep uncertainty in five-day forecasts for Tel Aviv's April 4 high temperature amid early spring variability in the Mediterranean climate. Climatological averages from historical data place typical highs at 22-23°C, but ensemble spreads in models like ECMWF and GFS reflect divergent scenarios: potential cool, rainy conditions from passing fronts dropping peaks near 17°C, versus hot sharav winds from the southeast driving extremes above 27°C. No significant developments in the past week, such as unusual atmospheric blocking, have tipped the balance; traders await daily updates from the Israel Meteorological Service for refined guidance on cloud cover, wind patterns, and peak heating potential.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 4 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
交易量
$5结束日期
Apr 4, 2026市场开放时间
Mar 29, 2026, 3:42 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket shows a tight split between 17°C or below (41%) and 27°C or higher (40%), highlighting deep uncertainty in five-day forecasts for Tel Aviv's April 4 high temperature amid early spring variability in the Mediterranean climate. Climatological averages from historical data place typical highs at 22-23°C, but ensemble spreads in models like ECMWF and GFS reflect divergent scenarios: potential cool, rainy conditions from passing fronts dropping peaks near 17°C, versus hot sharav winds from the southeast driving extremes above 27°C. No significant developments in the past week, such as unusual atmospheric blocking, have tipped the balance; traders await daily updates from the Israel Meteorological Service for refined guidance on cloud cover, wind patterns, and peak heating potential.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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