Trader consensus on Polymarket favors 26°C as Tel Aviv's highest temperature on April 1 at a 50.5% implied probability, reflecting the latest Israel Meteorological Service guidance and global model consensus from GFS and ECMWF projecting peaks of 25-27°C amid a high-pressure ridge fostering subsidence, clear skies, and light southerly winds over the eastern Mediterranean. This marks a modest warming from late-March highs around 19-20°C, with ample sunshine hours boosting midday temperatures while sea-breeze moderation caps extremes. Outcomes like 27°C (17.5%) and 25°C (15.5%) capture forecast uncertainty ranges, as small shifts in cloud cover or humidity could tip the balance; watch for IMS updates and new model runs over the next 24 hours ahead of resolution. Historical early-April averages hover near 23°C, underscoring the crowd's assessment of above-normal potential.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于Highest temperature in Tel Aviv on April 1?
Highest temperature in Tel Aviv on April 1?
26°C 33%
27°C 22%
25°C 16%
28°C 13%
NEW
NEW
Apr 1, 2026
21°C or below
8%
22°C
2%
23°C
8%
24°C
10%
25°C
16%
26°C
33%
27°C
22%
28°C
13%
29°C
9%
30°C
3%
31°C or higher
3%
26°C 33%
27°C 22%
25°C 16%
28°C 13%
NEW
NEW
Apr 1, 2026
21°C or below
$40 交易量
8%
22°C
$8 交易量
2%
23°C
$13 交易量
8%
24°C
$56 交易量
10%
25°C
$44 交易量
16%
26°C
$118 交易量
33%
27°C
$92 交易量
22%
28°C
$19 交易量
13%
29°C
$25 交易量
9%
30°C
$32 交易量
3%
31°C or higher
$52 交易量
3%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 1 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket favors 26°C as Tel Aviv's highest temperature on April 1 at a 50.5% implied probability, reflecting the latest Israel Meteorological Service guidance and global model consensus from GFS and ECMWF projecting peaks of 25-27°C amid a high-pressure ridge fostering subsidence, clear skies, and light southerly winds over the eastern Mediterranean. This marks a modest warming from late-March highs around 19-20°C, with ample sunshine hours boosting midday temperatures while sea-breeze moderation caps extremes. Outcomes like 27°C (17.5%) and 25°C (15.5%) capture forecast uncertainty ranges, as small shifts in cloud cover or humidity could tip the balance; watch for IMS updates and new model runs over the next 24 hours ahead of resolution. Historical early-April averages hover near 23°C, underscoring the crowd's assessment of above-normal potential.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 1 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市场开放时间： Mar 29, 2026, 3:11 PM ET
交易量
$499结束日期
Apr 1, 2026市场开放时间
Mar 29, 2026, 3:11 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 1 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket favors 26°C as Tel Aviv's highest temperature on April 1 at a 50.5% implied probability, reflecting the latest Israel Meteorological Service guidance and global model consensus from GFS and ECMWF projecting peaks of 25-27°C amid a high-pressure ridge fostering subsidence, clear skies, and light southerly winds over the eastern Mediterranean. This marks a modest warming from late-March highs around 19-20°C, with ample sunshine hours boosting midday temperatures while sea-breeze moderation caps extremes. Outcomes like 27°C (17.5%) and 25°C (15.5%) capture forecast uncertainty ranges, as small shifts in cloud cover or humidity could tip the balance; watch for IMS updates and new model runs over the next 24 hours ahead of resolution. Historical early-April averages hover near 23°C, underscoring the crowd's assessment of above-normal potential.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 1 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
交易量
$499结束日期
Apr 1, 2026市场开放时间
Mar 29, 2026, 3:11 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket favors 26°C as Tel Aviv's highest temperature on April 1 at a 50.5% implied probability, reflecting the latest Israel Meteorological Service guidance and global model consensus from GFS and ECMWF projecting peaks of 25-27°C amid a high-pressure ridge fostering subsidence, clear skies, and light southerly winds over the eastern Mediterranean. This marks a modest warming from late-March highs around 19-20°C, with ample sunshine hours boosting midday temperatures while sea-breeze moderation caps extremes. Outcomes like 27°C (17.5%) and 25°C (15.5%) capture forecast uncertainty ranges, as small shifts in cloud cover or humidity could tip the balance; watch for IMS updates and new model runs over the next 24 hours ahead of resolution. Historical early-April averages hover near 23°C, underscoring the crowd's assessment of above-normal potential.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题