Trader consensus on Polymarket favors a highest temperature of 23°C at 27.5% implied probability for Chongqing on April 5, closely trailed by 22°C (22.5%) and 24°C (18%), reflecting short-range forecast uncertainty from divergent global models like GFS and ECMWF analogs. Recent AccuWeather updates project around 26°C under partly cloudy skies with 25% shower risk, but other ensembles like world-weather.info indicate 23°C amid increasing cloud cover following warmer conditions earlier in the week (April 3 highs near 26°C). Atmospheric factors include a potential upper-level trough reducing insolation and basin topography trapping cooler air, with historical early-April averages hovering at 22-24°C. New model runs expected overnight April 4 could sharpen resolution criteria around official China Meteorological Administration observations.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于Highest temperature in Chongqing on April 5?
Highest temperature in Chongqing on April 5?
23°C 25%
22°C 23%
24°C 18%
21°C 16%
最新
最新
2026-04-05
17°C or below
1%
18°C
2%
19°C
7%
20°C
11%
21°C
16%
22°C
23%
23°C
25%
24°C
18%
25°C
9%
26°C
7%
27°C or higher
2%
23°C 25%
22°C 23%
24°C 18%
21°C 16%
最新
最新
2026-04-05
17°C or below
$684 交易量
1%
18°C
$1,198 交易量
2%
19°C
$343 交易量
7%
20°C
$347 交易量
11%
21°C
$335 交易量
16%
22°C
$276 交易量
23%
23°C
$208 交易量
25%
24°C
$161 交易量
18%
25°C
$133 交易量
9%
26°C
$159 交易量
7%
27°C or higher
$215 交易量
2%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket favors a highest temperature of 23°C at 27.5% implied probability for Chongqing on April 5, closely trailed by 22°C (22.5%) and 24°C (18%), reflecting short-range forecast uncertainty from divergent global models like GFS and ECMWF analogs. Recent AccuWeather updates project around 26°C under partly cloudy skies with 25% shower risk, but other ensembles like world-weather.info indicate 23°C amid increasing cloud cover following warmer conditions earlier in the week (April 3 highs near 26°C). Atmospheric factors include a potential upper-level trough reducing insolation and basin topography trapping cooler air, with historical early-April averages hovering at 22-24°C. New model runs expected overnight April 4 could sharpen resolution criteria around official China Meteorological Administration observations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市场开放时间： Apr 1, 2026, 6:23 AM ET
交易量
$4,058结束日期
2026-04-05市场开放时间
Apr 1, 2026, 6:23 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket favors a highest temperature of 23°C at 27.5% implied probability for Chongqing on April 5, closely trailed by 22°C (22.5%) and 24°C (18%), reflecting short-range forecast uncertainty from divergent global models like GFS and ECMWF analogs. Recent AccuWeather updates project around 26°C under partly cloudy skies with 25% shower risk, but other ensembles like world-weather.info indicate 23°C amid increasing cloud cover following warmer conditions earlier in the week (April 3 highs near 26°C). Atmospheric factors include a potential upper-level trough reducing insolation and basin topography trapping cooler air, with historical early-April averages hovering at 22-24°C. New model runs expected overnight April 4 could sharpen resolution criteria around official China Meteorological Administration observations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
交易量
$4,058结束日期
2026-04-05市场开放时间
Apr 1, 2026, 6:23 AM ETTrader consensus on Polymarket favors a highest temperature of 23°C at 27.5% implied probability for Chongqing on April 5, closely trailed by 22°C (22.5%) and 24°C (18%), reflecting short-range forecast uncertainty from divergent global models like GFS and ECMWF analogs. Recent AccuWeather updates project around 26°C under partly cloudy skies with 25% shower risk, but other ensembles like world-weather.info indicate 23°C amid increasing cloud cover following warmer conditions earlier in the week (April 3 highs near 26°C). Atmospheric factors include a potential upper-level trough reducing insolation and basin topography trapping cooler air, with historical early-April averages hovering at 22-24°C. New model runs expected overnight April 4 could sharpen resolution criteria around official China Meteorological Administration observations.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题