Latest National Weather Service guidance and ensemble forecast models like GFS and ECMWF project San Francisco's April 8 high temperature in the mid-to-upper 60s°F range, fueling the tight trader consensus with 66-67°F and 68-69°F each at 26% implied probabilities. This positioning reflects persistent marine layer influence from cool Pacific waters, which often caps highs below 70°F via stratus clouds and advection fog, contrasted by potential afternoon burn-off under a developing upper-level ridge and light offshore flow. Historical April 8 averages hover near 63°F per NOAA normals, but recent neutral ENSO transition and observed early April warming trends support the modest upward bias. Key differentiators include stratus persistence and wind shear; expect volatility ahead of daily NWS updates resolving near the 64-69°F cluster.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于Highest temperature in San Francisco on April 8?
Highest temperature in San Francisco on April 8?
66-67°F 29%
68-69°F 26%
64-65°F 19%
62-63°F 16%
最新
最新
2026-04-08
55°F or below
<1%
56-57°F
1%
58-59°F
2%
60-61°F
16%
62-63°F
16%
64-65°F
19%
66-67°F
26%
68-69°F
26%
70-71°F
13%
72-73°F
5%
74°F or higher
4%
66-67°F 29%
68-69°F 26%
64-65°F 19%
62-63°F 16%
最新
最新
2026-04-08
55°F or below
$441 交易量
<1%
56-57°F
$98 交易量
1%
58-59°F
$69 交易量
2%
60-61°F
$83 交易量
16%
62-63°F
$82 交易量
16%
64-65°F
$119 交易量
19%
66-67°F
$104 交易量
26%
68-69°F
$130 交易量
26%
70-71°F
$71 交易量
13%
72-73°F
$89 交易量
5%
74°F or higher
$84 交易量
4%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 8 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the San Francisco International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Latest National Weather Service guidance and ensemble forecast models like GFS and ECMWF project San Francisco's April 8 high temperature in the mid-to-upper 60s°F range, fueling the tight trader consensus with 66-67°F and 68-69°F each at 26% implied probabilities. This positioning reflects persistent marine layer influence from cool Pacific waters, which often caps highs below 70°F via stratus clouds and advection fog, contrasted by potential afternoon burn-off under a developing upper-level ridge and light offshore flow. Historical April 8 averages hover near 63°F per NOAA normals, but recent neutral ENSO transition and observed early April warming trends support the modest upward bias. Key differentiators include stratus persistence and wind shear; expect volatility ahead of daily NWS updates resolving near the 64-69°F cluster.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 8 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the San Francisco International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the San Francisco International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市场开放时间： Apr 4, 2026, 12:10 AM ET
交易量
$1,369结束日期
2026-04-08市场开放时间
Apr 4, 2026, 12:10 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 8 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the San Francisco International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Latest National Weather Service guidance and ensemble forecast models like GFS and ECMWF project San Francisco's April 8 high temperature in the mid-to-upper 60s°F range, fueling the tight trader consensus with 66-67°F and 68-69°F each at 26% implied probabilities. This positioning reflects persistent marine layer influence from cool Pacific waters, which often caps highs below 70°F via stratus clouds and advection fog, contrasted by potential afternoon burn-off under a developing upper-level ridge and light offshore flow. Historical April 8 averages hover near 63°F per NOAA normals, but recent neutral ENSO transition and observed early April warming trends support the modest upward bias. Key differentiators include stratus persistence and wind shear; expect volatility ahead of daily NWS updates resolving near the 64-69°F cluster.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 8 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the San Francisco International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the San Francisco International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
交易量
$1,369结束日期
2026-04-08市场开放时间
Apr 4, 2026, 12:10 AM ETLatest National Weather Service guidance and ensemble forecast models like GFS and ECMWF project San Francisco's April 8 high temperature in the mid-to-upper 60s°F range, fueling the tight trader consensus with 66-67°F and 68-69°F each at 26% implied probabilities. This positioning reflects persistent marine layer influence from cool Pacific waters, which often caps highs below 70°F via stratus clouds and advection fog, contrasted by potential afternoon burn-off under a developing upper-level ridge and light offshore flow. Historical April 8 averages hover near 63°F per NOAA normals, but recent neutral ENSO transition and observed early April warming trends support the modest upward bias. Key differentiators include stratus persistence and wind shear; expect volatility ahead of daily NWS updates resolving near the 64-69°F cluster.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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