The Hong Kong Observatory's 9-day forecast, updated April 1, projects a maximum temperature of 28°C on April 5 amid mainly cloudy conditions, a few showers, and possible squally thunderstorms from a lingering trough of low pressure, with southeasterly winds force 4-5 ushering in moist air and high relative humidity (75-95%). Trader sentiment clusters around 26°C (27.5% implied probability) and 29°C or higher (25.5%) due to uncertainty in cloud cover and precipitation timing—persistent overcast skies could suppress peaks to the mid-20s via reduced solar insolation, while brief sunny intervals or faster trough weakening might allow convective heating to push above 29°C, aligning with the seasonal normal-to-above-normal temperature outlook. Ensemble model ranges of 23-28°C highlight this variability; watch tomorrow's forecast update for refined guidance.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于4月5日香港气温最高？
4月5日香港气温最高？
26°C 39%
28°C 32%
27°C 27%
29°C或更高 14%
最新
最新
2026-04-05
19°C或以下
1%
20°C
5%
21°C
6%
22°C
6%
23°C
7%
24°C
7%
25°C
13%
26°C
32%
27°C
27%
28°C
19%
29°C或更高
14%
26°C 39%
28°C 32%
27°C 27%
29°C或更高 14%
最新
最新
2026-04-05
19°C或以下
$155 交易量
1%
20°C
$340 交易量
5%
21°C
$420 交易量
6%
22°C
$10 交易量
6%
23°C
$0 交易量
7%
24°C
$0 交易量
7%
25°C
$0 交易量
13%
26°C
$31 交易量
32%
27°C
$0 交易量
27%
28°C
$3 交易量
19%
29°C或更高
$0 交易量
14%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 5 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.The Hong Kong Observatory's 9-day forecast, updated April 1, projects a maximum temperature of 28°C on April 5 amid mainly cloudy conditions, a few showers, and possible squally thunderstorms from a lingering trough of low pressure, with southeasterly winds force 4-5 ushering in moist air and high relative humidity (75-95%). Trader sentiment clusters around 26°C (27.5% implied probability) and 29°C or higher (25.5%) due to uncertainty in cloud cover and precipitation timing—persistent overcast skies could suppress peaks to the mid-20s via reduced solar insolation, while brief sunny intervals or faster trough weakening might allow convective heating to push above 29°C, aligning with the seasonal normal-to-above-normal temperature outlook. Ensemble model ranges of 23-28°C highlight this variability; watch tomorrow's forecast update for refined guidance.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 5 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市场开放时间： Apr 1, 2026, 6:03 AM ET
交易量
$959结束日期
2026-04-05市场开放时间
Apr 1, 2026, 6:03 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 5 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.The Hong Kong Observatory's 9-day forecast, updated April 1, projects a maximum temperature of 28°C on April 5 amid mainly cloudy conditions, a few showers, and possible squally thunderstorms from a lingering trough of low pressure, with southeasterly winds force 4-5 ushering in moist air and high relative humidity (75-95%). Trader sentiment clusters around 26°C (27.5% implied probability) and 29°C or higher (25.5%) due to uncertainty in cloud cover and precipitation timing—persistent overcast skies could suppress peaks to the mid-20s via reduced solar insolation, while brief sunny intervals or faster trough weakening might allow convective heating to push above 29°C, aligning with the seasonal normal-to-above-normal temperature outlook. Ensemble model ranges of 23-28°C highlight this variability; watch tomorrow's forecast update for refined guidance.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 5 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
交易量
$959结束日期
2026-04-05市场开放时间
Apr 1, 2026, 6:03 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The Hong Kong Observatory's 9-day forecast, updated April 1, projects a maximum temperature of 28°C on April 5 amid mainly cloudy conditions, a few showers, and possible squally thunderstorms from a lingering trough of low pressure, with southeasterly winds force 4-5 ushering in moist air and high relative humidity (75-95%). Trader sentiment clusters around 26°C (27.5% implied probability) and 29°C or higher (25.5%) due to uncertainty in cloud cover and precipitation timing—persistent overcast skies could suppress peaks to the mid-20s via reduced solar insolation, while brief sunny intervals or faster trough weakening might allow convective heating to push above 29°C, aligning with the seasonal normal-to-above-normal temperature outlook. Ensemble model ranges of 23-28°C highlight this variability; watch tomorrow's forecast update for refined guidance.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于
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警惕外部链接哦。
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