Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects tight uncertainty in short-range forecasts for Austin's highest temperature on April 5, with 70-71°F leading at 27% implied probability amid a cluster around 68-73°F, driven by the National Weather Service's latest guidance showing a peak near 67°F. This cooling from earlier 80s-90s highs stems from an approaching cold front ushering clouds, gusty winds, and 40-50% rain chances late April 4 into Sunday, per NWS Austin/San Antonio advisories and ensemble model consensus from GFS and ECMWF runs updated April 2-3. Below-normal temps—versus April climatological highs near 78°F—hinge on frontal timing and storm intensity; watch NWS 12z updates Saturday for potential shifts as resolution nears.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于Highest temperature in Austin on April 5?
Highest temperature in Austin on April 5?
70-71°F 27%
68-69°F 24%
72-73°F 22%
66-67°F 15%
最新
最新
2026-04-05
55°F or below
1%
56-57°F
1%
58-59°F
1%
60-61°F
2%
62-63°F
5%
64-65°F
5%
66-67°F
15%
68-69°F
24%
70-71°F
27%
72-73°F
22%
74°F or higher
6%
70-71°F 27%
68-69°F 24%
72-73°F 22%
66-67°F 15%
最新
最新
2026-04-05
55°F or below
$2,907 交易量
1%
56-57°F
$1,878 交易量
1%
58-59°F
$536 交易量
1%
60-61°F
$329 交易量
2%
62-63°F
$391 交易量
5%
64-65°F
$278 交易量
5%
66-67°F
$639 交易量
15%
68-69°F
$290 交易量
24%
70-71°F
$417 交易量
27%
72-73°F
$460 交易量
22%
74°F or higher
$1,523 交易量
6%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 5 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects tight uncertainty in short-range forecasts for Austin's highest temperature on April 5, with 70-71°F leading at 27% implied probability amid a cluster around 68-73°F, driven by the National Weather Service's latest guidance showing a peak near 67°F. This cooling from earlier 80s-90s highs stems from an approaching cold front ushering clouds, gusty winds, and 40-50% rain chances late April 4 into Sunday, per NWS Austin/San Antonio advisories and ensemble model consensus from GFS and ECMWF runs updated April 2-3. Below-normal temps—versus April climatological highs near 78°F—hinge on frontal timing and storm intensity; watch NWS 12z updates Saturday for potential shifts as resolution nears.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 5 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市场开放时间： Apr 1, 2026, 6:34 AM ET
交易量
$9,648结束日期
2026-04-05市场开放时间
Apr 1, 2026, 6:34 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 5 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects tight uncertainty in short-range forecasts for Austin's highest temperature on April 5, with 70-71°F leading at 27% implied probability amid a cluster around 68-73°F, driven by the National Weather Service's latest guidance showing a peak near 67°F. This cooling from earlier 80s-90s highs stems from an approaching cold front ushering clouds, gusty winds, and 40-50% rain chances late April 4 into Sunday, per NWS Austin/San Antonio advisories and ensemble model consensus from GFS and ECMWF runs updated April 2-3. Below-normal temps—versus April climatological highs near 78°F—hinge on frontal timing and storm intensity; watch NWS 12z updates Saturday for potential shifts as resolution nears.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 5 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
交易量
$9,648结束日期
2026-04-05市场开放时间
Apr 1, 2026, 6:34 AM ETTrader consensus on Polymarket reflects tight uncertainty in short-range forecasts for Austin's highest temperature on April 5, with 70-71°F leading at 27% implied probability amid a cluster around 68-73°F, driven by the National Weather Service's latest guidance showing a peak near 67°F. This cooling from earlier 80s-90s highs stems from an approaching cold front ushering clouds, gusty winds, and 40-50% rain chances late April 4 into Sunday, per NWS Austin/San Antonio advisories and ensemble model consensus from GFS and ECMWF runs updated April 2-3. Below-normal temps—versus April climatological highs near 78°F—hinge on frontal timing and storm intensity; watch NWS 12z updates Saturday for potential shifts as resolution nears.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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