Latest ECMWF and GFS ensemble forecasts project Beijing's highest temperature on April 5 at 19–21°C under mostly sunny skies with light northwest winds, aligning with trader consensus favoring 21°C (36.5%) and 20°C (27.0%) outcomes amid model spread reflecting uncertainty in daytime heating and cloud cover variability. Official guidance from the China Meteorological Administration and World Meteorological Centre Beijing indicates highs near 19°C, while AccuWeather suggests around 20.5°C (69°F), with historical April averages hovering at 20°C amid spring's rapid warming. Key differentiators include southerly flow remnants potentially boosting temperatures versus cooler northwest steering; new model runs and observational updates expected April 4 could sharpen resolution as diurnal ranges widen under clear conditions.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于4月5日北京气温最高？
4月5日北京气温最高？
21°C 27%
20°C 27%
19°C 16%
18°C 14%
最新
最新
2026-04-05
13°C或以下
<1%
14°C
<1%
15°C
1%
16°C
3%
17°C
7%
18°C
14%
19°C
16%
20°C
27%
21°C
27%
22°C
9%
23°C或更高
6%
21°C 27%
20°C 27%
19°C 16%
18°C 14%
最新
最新
2026-04-05
13°C或以下
$466 交易量
<1%
14°C
$1,289 交易量
<1%
15°C
$2,082 交易量
1%
16°C
$819 交易量
3%
17°C
$614 交易量
7%
18°C
$283 交易量
14%
19°C
$275 交易量
16%
20°C
$352 交易量
27%
21°C
$1,043 交易量
27%
22°C
$610 交易量
9%
23°C或更高
$372 交易量
6%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Latest ECMWF and GFS ensemble forecasts project Beijing's highest temperature on April 5 at 19–21°C under mostly sunny skies with light northwest winds, aligning with trader consensus favoring 21°C (36.5%) and 20°C (27.0%) outcomes amid model spread reflecting uncertainty in daytime heating and cloud cover variability. Official guidance from the China Meteorological Administration and World Meteorological Centre Beijing indicates highs near 19°C, while AccuWeather suggests around 20.5°C (69°F), with historical April averages hovering at 20°C amid spring's rapid warming. Key differentiators include southerly flow remnants potentially boosting temperatures versus cooler northwest steering; new model runs and observational updates expected April 4 could sharpen resolution as diurnal ranges widen under clear conditions.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市场开放时间： Apr 1, 2026, 6:06 AM ET
交易量
$8,206结束日期
2026-04-05市场开放时间
Apr 1, 2026, 6:06 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Latest ECMWF and GFS ensemble forecasts project Beijing's highest temperature on April 5 at 19–21°C under mostly sunny skies with light northwest winds, aligning with trader consensus favoring 21°C (36.5%) and 20°C (27.0%) outcomes amid model spread reflecting uncertainty in daytime heating and cloud cover variability. Official guidance from the China Meteorological Administration and World Meteorological Centre Beijing indicates highs near 19°C, while AccuWeather suggests around 20.5°C (69°F), with historical April averages hovering at 20°C amid spring's rapid warming. Key differentiators include southerly flow remnants potentially boosting temperatures versus cooler northwest steering; new model runs and observational updates expected April 4 could sharpen resolution as diurnal ranges widen under clear conditions.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
交易量
$8,206结束日期
2026-04-05市场开放时间
Apr 1, 2026, 6:06 AM ETLatest ECMWF and GFS ensemble forecasts project Beijing's highest temperature on April 5 at 19–21°C under mostly sunny skies with light northwest winds, aligning with trader consensus favoring 21°C (36.5%) and 20°C (27.0%) outcomes amid model spread reflecting uncertainty in daytime heating and cloud cover variability. Official guidance from the China Meteorological Administration and World Meteorological Centre Beijing indicates highs near 19°C, while AccuWeather suggests around 20.5°C (69°F), with historical April averages hovering at 20°C amid spring's rapid warming. Key differentiators include southerly flow remnants potentially boosting temperatures versus cooler northwest steering; new model runs and observational updates expected April 4 could sharpen resolution as diurnal ranges widen under clear conditions.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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