Divergent forecasts from Environment Canada and global models like ECMWF and GFS underpin the closely matched Polymarket odds for Toronto's highest temperature on April 5, with recent runs showing ensemble spreads from 2°C under northerly cold advection to 12°C+ with southerly flow and partial clearing. Early spring variability amplifies this uncertainty, as the jet stream's position dictates whether Lake Ontario's moderating influence tempers chillier air masses or allows warmer incursions, against historical early April averages of 8-10°C at Toronto Pearson International Airport. Trader sentiment reflects skin-in-the-game bets on synoptic shifts, with upcoming 00z/12z model updates and ECCC advisories likely to narrow the field before resolution based on official airport observations.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于Highest temperature in Toronto on April 5?
Highest temperature in Toronto on April 5?
12°C or higher 36%
9°C 26%
10°C 16%
11°C 16%
最新
最新
2026-04-05
2°C or below
2%
3°C
4%
4°C
4%
5°C
7%
6°C
8%
7°C
11%
8°C
14%
9°C
26%
10°C
16%
11°C
16%
12°C or higher
36%
12°C or higher 36%
9°C 26%
10°C 16%
11°C 16%
最新
最新
2026-04-05
2°C or below
$36 交易量
2%
3°C
$10 交易量
4%
4°C
$10 交易量
4%
5°C
$8 交易量
7%
6°C
$0 交易量
8%
7°C
$0 交易量
11%
8°C
$0 交易量
14%
9°C
$20 交易量
26%
10°C
$8 交易量
16%
11°C
$0 交易量
16%
12°C or higher
$46 交易量
36%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Divergent forecasts from Environment Canada and global models like ECMWF and GFS underpin the closely matched Polymarket odds for Toronto's highest temperature on April 5, with recent runs showing ensemble spreads from 2°C under northerly cold advection to 12°C+ with southerly flow and partial clearing. Early spring variability amplifies this uncertainty, as the jet stream's position dictates whether Lake Ontario's moderating influence tempers chillier air masses or allows warmer incursions, against historical early April averages of 8-10°C at Toronto Pearson International Airport. Trader sentiment reflects skin-in-the-game bets on synoptic shifts, with upcoming 00z/12z model updates and ECCC advisories likely to narrow the field before resolution based on official airport observations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市场开放时间： Apr 1, 2026, 6:01 AM ET
交易量
$138结束日期
2026-04-05市场开放时间
Apr 1, 2026, 6:01 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Divergent forecasts from Environment Canada and global models like ECMWF and GFS underpin the closely matched Polymarket odds for Toronto's highest temperature on April 5, with recent runs showing ensemble spreads from 2°C under northerly cold advection to 12°C+ with southerly flow and partial clearing. Early spring variability amplifies this uncertainty, as the jet stream's position dictates whether Lake Ontario's moderating influence tempers chillier air masses or allows warmer incursions, against historical early April averages of 8-10°C at Toronto Pearson International Airport. Trader sentiment reflects skin-in-the-game bets on synoptic shifts, with upcoming 00z/12z model updates and ECCC advisories likely to narrow the field before resolution based on official airport observations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
交易量
$138结束日期
2026-04-05市场开放时间
Apr 1, 2026, 6:01 AM ETDivergent forecasts from Environment Canada and global models like ECMWF and GFS underpin the closely matched Polymarket odds for Toronto's highest temperature on April 5, with recent runs showing ensemble spreads from 2°C under northerly cold advection to 12°C+ with southerly flow and partial clearing. Early spring variability amplifies this uncertainty, as the jet stream's position dictates whether Lake Ontario's moderating influence tempers chillier air masses or allows warmer incursions, against historical early April averages of 8-10°C at Toronto Pearson International Airport. Trader sentiment reflects skin-in-the-game bets on synoptic shifts, with upcoming 00z/12z model updates and ECCC advisories likely to narrow the field before resolution based on official airport observations.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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