Trader consensus on Polymarket implies a 57.5% probability for Beijing's highest temperature on April 9 reaching 17°C or higher, driven by the latest China Meteorological Administration short-range forecasts and ECMWF/GFS ensemble means projecting a peak near 17°C under partly cloudy skies with light southerly winds. This positioning stems from persistent cool northerly airflow in the wake of a recent cold front, as evidenced by April 5's observed high of 19°C—mildly below early April historical averages of 18-19°C at Beijing Capital International Airport. Ensemble spreads indicate uncertainty between 15-19°C, influenced by potential high-pressure ridging or added cloudiness; daily model updates from CMA and global numerical weather prediction systems through April 8 will refine these market-implied odds.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于Highest temperature in Beijing on April 9?
Highest temperature in Beijing on April 9?
17°C or higher 63%
16°C 21%
15°C 16%
14°C 6.5%
最新
最新
2026-04-09
7°C or below
1%
8°C
1%
9°C
1%
10°C
1%
11°C
1%
12°C
5%
13°C
6%
14°C
6%
15°C
16%
16°C
21%
17°C or higher
63%
17°C or higher 63%
16°C 21%
15°C 16%
14°C 6.5%
最新
最新
2026-04-09
7°C or below
$1,107 交易量
1%
8°C
$272 交易量
1%
9°C
$257 交易量
1%
10°C
$360 交易量
1%
11°C
$255 交易量
1%
12°C
$250 交易量
5%
13°C
$270 交易量
6%
14°C
$284 交易量
6%
15°C
$12 交易量
16%
16°C
$17 交易量
21%
17°C or higher
$237 交易量
63%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket implies a 57.5% probability for Beijing's highest temperature on April 9 reaching 17°C or higher, driven by the latest China Meteorological Administration short-range forecasts and ECMWF/GFS ensemble means projecting a peak near 17°C under partly cloudy skies with light southerly winds. This positioning stems from persistent cool northerly airflow in the wake of a recent cold front, as evidenced by April 5's observed high of 19°C—mildly below early April historical averages of 18-19°C at Beijing Capital International Airport. Ensemble spreads indicate uncertainty between 15-19°C, influenced by potential high-pressure ridging or added cloudiness; daily model updates from CMA and global numerical weather prediction systems through April 8 will refine these market-implied odds.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市场开放时间： Apr 5, 2026, 12:10 AM ET
交易量
$3,321结束日期
2026-04-09市场开放时间
Apr 5, 2026, 12:10 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket implies a 57.5% probability for Beijing's highest temperature on April 9 reaching 17°C or higher, driven by the latest China Meteorological Administration short-range forecasts and ECMWF/GFS ensemble means projecting a peak near 17°C under partly cloudy skies with light southerly winds. This positioning stems from persistent cool northerly airflow in the wake of a recent cold front, as evidenced by April 5's observed high of 19°C—mildly below early April historical averages of 18-19°C at Beijing Capital International Airport. Ensemble spreads indicate uncertainty between 15-19°C, influenced by potential high-pressure ridging or added cloudiness; daily model updates from CMA and global numerical weather prediction systems through April 8 will refine these market-implied odds.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
交易量
$3,321结束日期
2026-04-09市场开放时间
Apr 5, 2026, 12:10 AM ETTrader consensus on Polymarket implies a 57.5% probability for Beijing's highest temperature on April 9 reaching 17°C or higher, driven by the latest China Meteorological Administration short-range forecasts and ECMWF/GFS ensemble means projecting a peak near 17°C under partly cloudy skies with light southerly winds. This positioning stems from persistent cool northerly airflow in the wake of a recent cold front, as evidenced by April 5's observed high of 19°C—mildly below early April historical averages of 18-19°C at Beijing Capital International Airport. Ensemble spreads indicate uncertainty between 15-19°C, influenced by potential high-pressure ridging or added cloudiness; daily model updates from CMA and global numerical weather prediction systems through April 8 will refine these market-implied odds.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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