Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects high uncertainty in short-range forecasts for Beijing's highest temperature on April 7, with implied probabilities tightly clustered at 16°C (23.5%), 17°C (24.0%), and 18°C (21.0%), driven by AccuWeather's projection of a 16°C high amid hazy sunshine and moderating west-southwest winds at 15 km/h. Recent northerly wind surges—gusts up to 35 km/h on April 5—have advected cooler continental air from Mongolia following early-April clear skies and highs near 20°C on April 2-3, while ongoing haze from sandstorm alerts reduces insolation. ECMWF and GFS ensemble means span 17-22°C due to divergent cloud cover predictions, with daily China Meteorological Administration updates and model runs through April 6 poised to sharpen resolution criteria at Beijing Capital International Airport.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于Highest temperature in Beijing on April 7?
Highest temperature in Beijing on April 7?
16°C 28%
17°C 23%
18°C 20%
15°C 13%
最新
最新
2026-04-07
13°C or below
2%
14°C
5%
15°C
13%
16°C
28%
17°C
23%
18°C
23%
19°C
10%
20°C
5%
21°C
3%
22°C
3%
23°C or higher
2%
16°C 28%
17°C 23%
18°C 20%
15°C 13%
最新
最新
2026-04-07
13°C or below
$453 交易量
2%
14°C
$37 交易量
5%
15°C
$26 交易量
13%
16°C
$101 交易量
28%
17°C
$52 交易量
23%
18°C
$27 交易量
23%
19°C
$27 交易量
10%
20°C
$64 交易量
5%
21°C
$86 交易量
3%
22°C
$49 交易量
3%
23°C or higher
$204 交易量
2%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects high uncertainty in short-range forecasts for Beijing's highest temperature on April 7, with implied probabilities tightly clustered at 16°C (23.5%), 17°C (24.0%), and 18°C (21.0%), driven by AccuWeather's projection of a 16°C high amid hazy sunshine and moderating west-southwest winds at 15 km/h. Recent northerly wind surges—gusts up to 35 km/h on April 5—have advected cooler continental air from Mongolia following early-April clear skies and highs near 20°C on April 2-3, while ongoing haze from sandstorm alerts reduces insolation. ECMWF and GFS ensemble means span 17-22°C due to divergent cloud cover predictions, with daily China Meteorological Administration updates and model runs through April 6 poised to sharpen resolution criteria at Beijing Capital International Airport.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市场开放时间： Apr 3, 2026, 6:20 AM ET
交易量
$1,127结束日期
2026-04-07市场开放时间
Apr 3, 2026, 6:20 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects high uncertainty in short-range forecasts for Beijing's highest temperature on April 7, with implied probabilities tightly clustered at 16°C (23.5%), 17°C (24.0%), and 18°C (21.0%), driven by AccuWeather's projection of a 16°C high amid hazy sunshine and moderating west-southwest winds at 15 km/h. Recent northerly wind surges—gusts up to 35 km/h on April 5—have advected cooler continental air from Mongolia following early-April clear skies and highs near 20°C on April 2-3, while ongoing haze from sandstorm alerts reduces insolation. ECMWF and GFS ensemble means span 17-22°C due to divergent cloud cover predictions, with daily China Meteorological Administration updates and model runs through April 6 poised to sharpen resolution criteria at Beijing Capital International Airport.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
交易量
$1,127结束日期
2026-04-07市场开放时间
Apr 3, 2026, 6:20 AM ETTrader consensus on Polymarket reflects high uncertainty in short-range forecasts for Beijing's highest temperature on April 7, with implied probabilities tightly clustered at 16°C (23.5%), 17°C (24.0%), and 18°C (21.0%), driven by AccuWeather's projection of a 16°C high amid hazy sunshine and moderating west-southwest winds at 15 km/h. Recent northerly wind surges—gusts up to 35 km/h on April 5—have advected cooler continental air from Mongolia following early-April clear skies and highs near 20°C on April 2-3, while ongoing haze from sandstorm alerts reduces insolation. ECMWF and GFS ensemble means span 17-22°C due to divergent cloud cover predictions, with daily China Meteorological Administration updates and model runs through April 6 poised to sharpen resolution criteria at Beijing Capital International Airport.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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