Central Weather Administration's (CWA) latest April 2 forecast projects a daytime high of 23°C in Taipei on April 4 amid cloudy conditions with showers or thunderstorms, capping temperatures via increased cloud cover and moist southerly airflow from a passing front. This explains trader consensus clustering implied probabilities around 24°C (22.5%) and 25°C (21%), as lighter precipitation or partial clearing—seen in some ECMWF and GFS ensemble members—could push peaks higher, while heavier showers favor 22°C or below (15.5%). Early April climatology averages 24°C highs with frontal variability, heightening uncertainty; watch CWA's afternoon update and real-time observations for shifts ahead of resolution based on official station data.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于Highest temperature in Taipei on April 4?
Highest temperature in Taipei on April 4?
24°C 23%
25°C 21%
26°C 16%
22°C or below 15%
最新
最新
2026-04-04
22°C or below
15%
23°C
14%
24°C
23%
25°C
21%
26°C
16%
27°C
11%
28°C
7%
29°C
3%
30°C
2%
31°C
2%
32°C or higher
1%
24°C 23%
25°C 21%
26°C 16%
22°C or below 15%
最新
最新
2026-04-04
22°C or below
$119 交易量
15%
23°C
$117 交易量
14%
24°C
$110 交易量
23%
25°C
$134 交易量
21%
26°C
$37 交易量
16%
27°C
$26 交易量
11%
28°C
$27 交易量
7%
29°C
$25 交易量
3%
30°C
$140 交易量
2%
31°C
$288 交易量
2%
32°C or higher
$430 交易量
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Taiwan Taoyuan International Airport in degrees Celsius on 4 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=RCTP
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Central Weather Administration's (CWA) latest April 2 forecast projects a daytime high of 23°C in Taipei on April 4 amid cloudy conditions with showers or thunderstorms, capping temperatures via increased cloud cover and moist southerly airflow from a passing front. This explains trader consensus clustering implied probabilities around 24°C (22.5%) and 25°C (21%), as lighter precipitation or partial clearing—seen in some ECMWF and GFS ensemble members—could push peaks higher, while heavier showers favor 22°C or below (15.5%). Early April climatology averages 24°C highs with frontal variability, heightening uncertainty; watch CWA's afternoon update and real-time observations for shifts ahead of resolution based on official station data.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Taiwan Taoyuan International Airport in degrees Celsius on 4 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=RCTP
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=RCTP
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市场开放时间： Mar 29, 2026, 3:33 PM ET
交易量
$1,453结束日期
2026-04-04市场开放时间
Mar 29, 2026, 3:33 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Taiwan Taoyuan International Airport in degrees Celsius on 4 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=RCTP
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Central Weather Administration's (CWA) latest April 2 forecast projects a daytime high of 23°C in Taipei on April 4 amid cloudy conditions with showers or thunderstorms, capping temperatures via increased cloud cover and moist southerly airflow from a passing front. This explains trader consensus clustering implied probabilities around 24°C (22.5%) and 25°C (21%), as lighter precipitation or partial clearing—seen in some ECMWF and GFS ensemble members—could push peaks higher, while heavier showers favor 22°C or below (15.5%). Early April climatology averages 24°C highs with frontal variability, heightening uncertainty; watch CWA's afternoon update and real-time observations for shifts ahead of resolution based on official station data.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Taiwan Taoyuan International Airport in degrees Celsius on 4 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=RCTP
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=RCTP
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
交易量
$1,453结束日期
2026-04-04市场开放时间
Mar 29, 2026, 3:33 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Central Weather Administration's (CWA) latest April 2 forecast projects a daytime high of 23°C in Taipei on April 4 amid cloudy conditions with showers or thunderstorms, capping temperatures via increased cloud cover and moist southerly airflow from a passing front. This explains trader consensus clustering implied probabilities around 24°C (22.5%) and 25°C (21%), as lighter precipitation or partial clearing—seen in some ECMWF and GFS ensemble members—could push peaks higher, while heavier showers favor 22°C or below (15.5%). Early April climatology averages 24°C highs with frontal variability, heightening uncertainty; watch CWA's afternoon update and real-time observations for shifts ahead of resolution based on official station data.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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