Trader sentiment for Shanghai's highest temperature on April 4 reflects substantial uncertainty in global forecast models like GFS and ECMWF ensembles, which center means around 19–20°C with spreads exceeding 5°C due to divergent scenarios—persistent subtropical high pressure versus incoming frontal passages bringing clouds and showers. Recent late-March warmth, with highs topping 25°C under a blocking ridge amid ENSO-neutral conditions, supports elevated odds for 21–24°C outcomes (14–24%), while climatological early-April normals near 18°C and hints of thunderstorms favor cooler 15–20°C bins (17–23.5%). China Meteorological Administration updates and new model runs over the next 48 hours will likely sharpen the outlook as resolution nears.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于Highest temperature in Shanghai on April 4?
Highest temperature in Shanghai on April 4?
20°C 24%
19°C 23%
24°C or higher 23%
18°C 18%
NEW
NEW
Apr 4, 2026
14°C or below
3%
15°C
17%
16°C
17%
17°C
18%
18°C
18%
19°C
23%
20°C
24%
21°C
17%
22°C
14%
23°C
13%
24°C or higher
23%
20°C 24%
19°C 23%
24°C or higher 23%
18°C 18%
NEW
NEW
Apr 4, 2026
14°C or below
$0 交易量
3%
15°C
$0 交易量
17%
16°C
$0 交易量
17%
17°C
$5 交易量
18%
18°C
$0 交易量
18%
19°C
$0 交易量
23%
20°C
$0 交易量
24%
21°C
$0 交易量
17%
22°C
$0 交易量
14%
23°C
$0 交易量
13%
24°C or higher
$5 交易量
23%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader sentiment for Shanghai's highest temperature on April 4 reflects substantial uncertainty in global forecast models like GFS and ECMWF ensembles, which center means around 19–20°C with spreads exceeding 5°C due to divergent scenarios—persistent subtropical high pressure versus incoming frontal passages bringing clouds and showers. Recent late-March warmth, with highs topping 25°C under a blocking ridge amid ENSO-neutral conditions, supports elevated odds for 21–24°C outcomes (14–24%), while climatological early-April normals near 18°C and hints of thunderstorms favor cooler 15–20°C bins (17–23.5%). China Meteorological Administration updates and new model runs over the next 48 hours will likely sharpen the outlook as resolution nears.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市场开放时间： Mar 29, 2026, 4:04 PM ET
交易量
$10结束日期
Apr 4, 2026市场开放时间
Mar 29, 2026, 4:04 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPDResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader sentiment for Shanghai's highest temperature on April 4 reflects substantial uncertainty in global forecast models like GFS and ECMWF ensembles, which center means around 19–20°C with spreads exceeding 5°C due to divergent scenarios—persistent subtropical high pressure versus incoming frontal passages bringing clouds and showers. Recent late-March warmth, with highs topping 25°C under a blocking ridge amid ENSO-neutral conditions, supports elevated odds for 21–24°C outcomes (14–24%), while climatological early-April normals near 18°C and hints of thunderstorms favor cooler 15–20°C bins (17–23.5%). China Meteorological Administration updates and new model runs over the next 48 hours will likely sharpen the outlook as resolution nears.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
交易量
$10结束日期
Apr 4, 2026市场开放时间
Mar 29, 2026, 4:04 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPDResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader sentiment for Shanghai's highest temperature on April 4 reflects substantial uncertainty in global forecast models like GFS and ECMWF ensembles, which center means around 19–20°C with spreads exceeding 5°C due to divergent scenarios—persistent subtropical high pressure versus incoming frontal passages bringing clouds and showers. Recent late-March warmth, with highs topping 25°C under a blocking ridge amid ENSO-neutral conditions, supports elevated odds for 21–24°C outcomes (14–24%), while climatological early-April normals near 18°C and hints of thunderstorms favor cooler 15–20°C bins (17–23.5%). China Meteorological Administration updates and new model runs over the next 48 hours will likely sharpen the outlook as resolution nears.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题