Latest AEMET forecasts and ECMWF/GFS ensemble means project Madrid's highest temperature on April 4 at 23-25°C under a developing high-pressure ridge over Iberia, fostering subsidence warming, clear skies, and light northerly winds around 20 km/h. This above-average outlook—seasonal norms hover near 19°C—drives trader consensus toward these outcomes, with 23°C leading at 29% implied probability amid tight model clustering but inherent 4-day forecast spread. Differentiating factors include potential cloud fringes or breeze-enhanced mixing capping at 22°C versus stronger solar heating pushing 24-25°C; historical April 4 records reach 26°C. New model runs and AEMET updates expected daily will refine probabilities before resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于Highest temperature in Madrid on April 4?
Highest temperature in Madrid on April 4?
23°C 27%
24°C 23%
22°C 18%
25°C 18%
最新
最新
2026-04-04
17°C or below
1%
18°C
1%
19°C
5%
20°C
6%
21°C
7%
22°C
18%
23°C
27%
24°C
23%
25°C
18%
26°C
13%
27°C or higher
7%
23°C 27%
24°C 23%
22°C 18%
25°C 18%
最新
最新
2026-04-04
17°C or below
$745 交易量
1%
18°C
$345 交易量
1%
19°C
$162 交易量
5%
20°C
$81 交易量
6%
21°C
$68 交易量
7%
22°C
$64 交易量
18%
23°C
$70 交易量
27%
24°C
$74 交易量
23%
25°C
$68 交易量
18%
26°C
$65 交易量
13%
27°C or higher
$70 交易量
7%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Latest AEMET forecasts and ECMWF/GFS ensemble means project Madrid's highest temperature on April 4 at 23-25°C under a developing high-pressure ridge over Iberia, fostering subsidence warming, clear skies, and light northerly winds around 20 km/h. This above-average outlook—seasonal norms hover near 19°C—drives trader consensus toward these outcomes, with 23°C leading at 29% implied probability amid tight model clustering but inherent 4-day forecast spread. Differentiating factors include potential cloud fringes or breeze-enhanced mixing capping at 22°C versus stronger solar heating pushing 24-25°C; historical April 4 records reach 26°C. New model runs and AEMET updates expected daily will refine probabilities before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市场开放时间： Mar 29, 2026, 4:22 PM ET
交易量
$1,811结束日期
2026-04-04市场开放时间
Mar 29, 2026, 4:22 PM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Latest AEMET forecasts and ECMWF/GFS ensemble means project Madrid's highest temperature on April 4 at 23-25°C under a developing high-pressure ridge over Iberia, fostering subsidence warming, clear skies, and light northerly winds around 20 km/h. This above-average outlook—seasonal norms hover near 19°C—drives trader consensus toward these outcomes, with 23°C leading at 29% implied probability amid tight model clustering but inherent 4-day forecast spread. Differentiating factors include potential cloud fringes or breeze-enhanced mixing capping at 22°C versus stronger solar heating pushing 24-25°C; historical April 4 records reach 26°C. New model runs and AEMET updates expected daily will refine probabilities before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
交易量
$1,811结束日期
2026-04-04市场开放时间
Mar 29, 2026, 4:22 PM ETLatest AEMET forecasts and ECMWF/GFS ensemble means project Madrid's highest temperature on April 4 at 23-25°C under a developing high-pressure ridge over Iberia, fostering subsidence warming, clear skies, and light northerly winds around 20 km/h. This above-average outlook—seasonal norms hover near 19°C—drives trader consensus toward these outcomes, with 23°C leading at 29% implied probability amid tight model clustering but inherent 4-day forecast spread. Differentiating factors include potential cloud fringes or breeze-enhanced mixing capping at 22°C versus stronger solar heating pushing 24-25°C; historical April 4 records reach 26°C. New model runs and AEMET updates expected daily will refine probabilities before resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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