Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects AEMET's latest 7-day forecast for Madrid on April 2, projecting a daytime high of 20°C under clear skies with northerly winds at 30 km/h, favoring outcomes near 19–20°C while capping upside potential from cooler air advection. This positions 19°C (27.5%) and 20°C (27.0%) as leaders, with 18°C close behind, amid ensemble model spreads—ECMWF and GFS runs varying 18–21°C due to uncertainties in diurnal heating, boundary layer mixing, and possible high cloud intrusion reducing insolation. Early April climatology averages 18°C highs, but high-pressure ridging supports mild conditions; watch AEMET daily updates and new ECMWF/GFS cycles for shifts ahead of resolution at Madrid-Barajas Airport.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于Highest temperature in Madrid on April 2?
Highest temperature in Madrid on April 2?
19°C 28%
20°C 27%
18°C 23%
17°C 20%
NEW
NEW
Apr 2, 2026
15°C or below
12%
16°C
10%
17°C
20%
18°C
23%
19°C
28%
20°C
27%
21°C
17%
22°C
14%
23°C
14%
24°C
9%
25°C or higher
7%
19°C 28%
20°C 27%
18°C 23%
17°C 20%
NEW
NEW
Apr 2, 2026
15°C or below
$5 交易量
12%
16°C
$1 交易量
10%
17°C
$0 交易量
20%
18°C
$0 交易量
23%
19°C
$5 交易量
28%
20°C
$8 交易量
27%
21°C
$0 交易量
17%
22°C
$1 交易量
14%
23°C
$5 交易量
14%
24°C
$9 交易量
9%
25°C or higher
$104 交易量
7%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects AEMET's latest 7-day forecast for Madrid on April 2, projecting a daytime high of 20°C under clear skies with northerly winds at 30 km/h, favoring outcomes near 19–20°C while capping upside potential from cooler air advection. This positions 19°C (27.5%) and 20°C (27.0%) as leaders, with 18°C close behind, amid ensemble model spreads—ECMWF and GFS runs varying 18–21°C due to uncertainties in diurnal heating, boundary layer mixing, and possible high cloud intrusion reducing insolation. Early April climatology averages 18°C highs, but high-pressure ridging supports mild conditions; watch AEMET daily updates and new ECMWF/GFS cycles for shifts ahead of resolution at Madrid-Barajas Airport.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市场开放时间： Mar 29, 2026, 2:25 PM ET
交易量
$67结束日期
Apr 2, 2026市场开放时间
Mar 29, 2026, 2:25 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMDResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects AEMET's latest 7-day forecast for Madrid on April 2, projecting a daytime high of 20°C under clear skies with northerly winds at 30 km/h, favoring outcomes near 19–20°C while capping upside potential from cooler air advection. This positions 19°C (27.5%) and 20°C (27.0%) as leaders, with 18°C close behind, amid ensemble model spreads—ECMWF and GFS runs varying 18–21°C due to uncertainties in diurnal heating, boundary layer mixing, and possible high cloud intrusion reducing insolation. Early April climatology averages 18°C highs, but high-pressure ridging supports mild conditions; watch AEMET daily updates and new ECMWF/GFS cycles for shifts ahead of resolution at Madrid-Barajas Airport.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
交易量
$67结束日期
Apr 2, 2026市场开放时间
Mar 29, 2026, 2:25 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMDResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects AEMET's latest 7-day forecast for Madrid on April 2, projecting a daytime high of 20°C under clear skies with northerly winds at 30 km/h, favoring outcomes near 19–20°C while capping upside potential from cooler air advection. This positions 19°C (27.5%) and 20°C (27.0%) as leaders, with 18°C close behind, amid ensemble model spreads—ECMWF and GFS runs varying 18–21°C due to uncertainties in diurnal heating, boundary layer mixing, and possible high cloud intrusion reducing insolation. Early April climatology averages 18°C highs, but high-pressure ridging supports mild conditions; watch AEMET daily updates and new ECMWF/GFS cycles for shifts ahead of resolution at Madrid-Barajas Airport.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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