Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects tight clustering around 19–21°C (implied probabilities 25.5%, 23.5%, and 20.0%, respectively), driven by the latest GFS and ECMWF ensemble forecasts projecting mild highs for Buenos Aires on April 5 amid seasonal autumn cooling. Subtle model divergences—such as varying cloud cover timing, sea breeze influences from the Río de la Plata moderating afternoon peaks, and boundary layer stability—differentiate these outcomes, with fuller overcast scenarios favoring 19°C and clearer intervals supporting 21°C. Early April historical highs average 22°C per Servicio Meteorológico Nacional data, but transitioning ENSO-neutral conditions introduce slight downward pressure. Watch SMN updates and 00Z model runs on April 3 for refinements, as 2–3°C short-range uncertainty persists.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于4月5日布宜诺斯艾利斯的最高温度？
4月5日布宜诺斯艾利斯的最高温度？
19°C 32%
21°C 24%
20°C 20%
22°C 12%
最新
最新
2026-04-05
14°C或以下
1%
15°C
1%
16°C
1%
17°C
3%
18°C
10%
19°C
26%
20°C
20%
21°C
24%
22°C
12%
23°C
7%
24°C或更高
4%
19°C 32%
21°C 24%
20°C 20%
22°C 12%
最新
最新
2026-04-05
14°C或以下
$465 交易量
1%
15°C
$1,103 交易量
1%
16°C
$469 交易量
1%
17°C
$691 交易量
3%
18°C
$318 交易量
10%
19°C
$380 交易量
26%
20°C
$432 交易量
20%
21°C
$348 交易量
24%
22°C
$403 交易量
12%
23°C
$255 交易量
7%
24°C或更高
$486 交易量
4%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects tight clustering around 19–21°C (implied probabilities 25.5%, 23.5%, and 20.0%, respectively), driven by the latest GFS and ECMWF ensemble forecasts projecting mild highs for Buenos Aires on April 5 amid seasonal autumn cooling. Subtle model divergences—such as varying cloud cover timing, sea breeze influences from the Río de la Plata moderating afternoon peaks, and boundary layer stability—differentiate these outcomes, with fuller overcast scenarios favoring 19°C and clearer intervals supporting 21°C. Early April historical highs average 22°C per Servicio Meteorológico Nacional data, but transitioning ENSO-neutral conditions introduce slight downward pressure. Watch SMN updates and 00Z model runs on April 3 for refinements, as 2–3°C short-range uncertainty persists.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市场开放时间： Apr 1, 2026, 6:01 AM ET
交易量
$5,328结束日期
2026-04-05市场开放时间
Apr 1, 2026, 6:01 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects tight clustering around 19–21°C (implied probabilities 25.5%, 23.5%, and 20.0%, respectively), driven by the latest GFS and ECMWF ensemble forecasts projecting mild highs for Buenos Aires on April 5 amid seasonal autumn cooling. Subtle model divergences—such as varying cloud cover timing, sea breeze influences from the Río de la Plata moderating afternoon peaks, and boundary layer stability—differentiate these outcomes, with fuller overcast scenarios favoring 19°C and clearer intervals supporting 21°C. Early April historical highs average 22°C per Servicio Meteorológico Nacional data, but transitioning ENSO-neutral conditions introduce slight downward pressure. Watch SMN updates and 00Z model runs on April 3 for refinements, as 2–3°C short-range uncertainty persists.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
交易量
$5,328结束日期
2026-04-05市场开放时间
Apr 1, 2026, 6:01 AM ETTrader consensus on Polymarket reflects tight clustering around 19–21°C (implied probabilities 25.5%, 23.5%, and 20.0%, respectively), driven by the latest GFS and ECMWF ensemble forecasts projecting mild highs for Buenos Aires on April 5 amid seasonal autumn cooling. Subtle model divergences—such as varying cloud cover timing, sea breeze influences from the Río de la Plata moderating afternoon peaks, and boundary layer stability—differentiate these outcomes, with fuller overcast scenarios favoring 19°C and clearer intervals supporting 21°C. Early April historical highs average 22°C per Servicio Meteorológico Nacional data, but transitioning ENSO-neutral conditions introduce slight downward pressure. Watch SMN updates and 00Z model runs on April 3 for refinements, as 2–3°C short-range uncertainty persists.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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