Trader consensus on Polymarket favors 26°C as Madrid's highest temperature on April 6 at 29% implied probability, driven by AEMET's latest forecast projecting maxima near 30°C during Easter Monday under a strengthening Azores High ridge extending across Iberia. Recent observations show warming trends, with Retiro station hitting 20.2°C on April 1, aligning with ECMWF and GFS ensemble means clustering in the mid-to-upper 20s°C amid above-normal spring outlooks. High uncertainty stems from model spread, potential cloud intrusions, and southerly wind variability that could cap peaks at 24°C (18%) or push toward 29°C+ (18%); climatological early April averages hover near 18°C, amplifying day-to-day volatility. Watch daily AEMET updates and fresh model runs for shifts ahead of resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于Highest temperature in Madrid on April 6?
Highest temperature in Madrid on April 6?
26°C 32%
25°C 22%
24°C 17%
28°C 15.1%
最新
最新
2026-04-06
19°C or below
1%
20°C
2%
21°C
3%
22°C
4%
23°C
5%
24°C
17%
25°C
22%
26°C
32%
27°C
14%
28°C
15%
29°C or higher
14%
26°C 32%
25°C 22%
24°C 17%
28°C 15.1%
最新
最新
2026-04-06
19°C or below
$256 交易量
1%
20°C
$130 交易量
2%
21°C
$81 交易量
3%
22°C
$108 交易量
4%
23°C
$108 交易量
5%
24°C
$221 交易量
17%
25°C
$151 交易量
22%
26°C
$140 交易量
32%
27°C
$103 交易量
14%
28°C
$70 交易量
15%
29°C or higher
$59 交易量
14%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket favors 26°C as Madrid's highest temperature on April 6 at 29% implied probability, driven by AEMET's latest forecast projecting maxima near 30°C during Easter Monday under a strengthening Azores High ridge extending across Iberia. Recent observations show warming trends, with Retiro station hitting 20.2°C on April 1, aligning with ECMWF and GFS ensemble means clustering in the mid-to-upper 20s°C amid above-normal spring outlooks. High uncertainty stems from model spread, potential cloud intrusions, and southerly wind variability that could cap peaks at 24°C (18%) or push toward 29°C+ (18%); climatological early April averages hover near 18°C, amplifying day-to-day volatility. Watch daily AEMET updates and fresh model runs for shifts ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市场开放时间： Apr 2, 2026, 6:42 AM ET
交易量
$1,427结束日期
2026-04-06市场开放时间
Apr 2, 2026, 6:42 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket favors 26°C as Madrid's highest temperature on April 6 at 29% implied probability, driven by AEMET's latest forecast projecting maxima near 30°C during Easter Monday under a strengthening Azores High ridge extending across Iberia. Recent observations show warming trends, with Retiro station hitting 20.2°C on April 1, aligning with ECMWF and GFS ensemble means clustering in the mid-to-upper 20s°C amid above-normal spring outlooks. High uncertainty stems from model spread, potential cloud intrusions, and southerly wind variability that could cap peaks at 24°C (18%) or push toward 29°C+ (18%); climatological early April averages hover near 18°C, amplifying day-to-day volatility. Watch daily AEMET updates and fresh model runs for shifts ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
交易量
$1,427结束日期
2026-04-06市场开放时间
Apr 2, 2026, 6:42 AM ETTrader consensus on Polymarket favors 26°C as Madrid's highest temperature on April 6 at 29% implied probability, driven by AEMET's latest forecast projecting maxima near 30°C during Easter Monday under a strengthening Azores High ridge extending across Iberia. Recent observations show warming trends, with Retiro station hitting 20.2°C on April 1, aligning with ECMWF and GFS ensemble means clustering in the mid-to-upper 20s°C amid above-normal spring outlooks. High uncertainty stems from model spread, potential cloud intrusions, and southerly wind variability that could cap peaks at 24°C (18%) or push toward 29°C+ (18%); climatological early April averages hover near 18°C, amplifying day-to-day volatility. Watch daily AEMET updates and fresh model runs for shifts ahead of resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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