Trader consensus on Polymarket, with 16°C leading at 37.5% implied probability followed closely by 15°C at 27%, reflects the latest Turkish State Meteorological Service (MGM) forecast projecting a midday high near 15°C at Esenboğa International Airport on April 6, corroborated by ECMWF and GFS ensemble means around 14-16°C amid a 12-18°C spread. Early April's continental climate in Ankara features cool mornings warming under variable cloud cover and light winds, consistent with recent observations of highs in the 14-17°C range over the past week and historical April averages of 16°C. Model runs indicate modest afternoon heating potential from solar insolation, though northerly flows could cap peaks; watch MGM's final hourly updates and airport observations resolving the market.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于Highest temperature in Ankara on April 6?
Highest temperature in Ankara on April 6?
16°C 36%
15°C 25%
14°C 17%
17°C 15%
最新
最新
2026-04-06
9°C or below
<1%
10°C
<1%
11°C
<1%
12°C
1%
13°C
7%
14°C
17%
15°C
25%
16°C
36%
17°C
15%
18°C
3%
19°C or higher
1%
16°C 36%
15°C 25%
14°C 17%
17°C 15%
最新
最新
2026-04-06
9°C or below
$1,168 交易量
<1%
10°C
$1,255 交易量
<1%
11°C
$897 交易量
<1%
12°C
$301 交易量
1%
13°C
$1,357 交易量
7%
14°C
$1,492 交易量
17%
15°C
$641 交易量
25%
16°C
$983 交易量
36%
17°C
$491 交易量
15%
18°C
$449 交易量
3%
19°C or higher
$850 交易量
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket, with 16°C leading at 37.5% implied probability followed closely by 15°C at 27%, reflects the latest Turkish State Meteorological Service (MGM) forecast projecting a midday high near 15°C at Esenboğa International Airport on April 6, corroborated by ECMWF and GFS ensemble means around 14-16°C amid a 12-18°C spread. Early April's continental climate in Ankara features cool mornings warming under variable cloud cover and light winds, consistent with recent observations of highs in the 14-17°C range over the past week and historical April averages of 16°C. Model runs indicate modest afternoon heating potential from solar insolation, though northerly flows could cap peaks; watch MGM's final hourly updates and airport observations resolving the market.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市场开放时间： Apr 2, 2026, 6:02 AM ET
交易量
$9,870结束日期
2026-04-06市场开放时间
Apr 2, 2026, 6:02 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket, with 16°C leading at 37.5% implied probability followed closely by 15°C at 27%, reflects the latest Turkish State Meteorological Service (MGM) forecast projecting a midday high near 15°C at Esenboğa International Airport on April 6, corroborated by ECMWF and GFS ensemble means around 14-16°C amid a 12-18°C spread. Early April's continental climate in Ankara features cool mornings warming under variable cloud cover and light winds, consistent with recent observations of highs in the 14-17°C range over the past week and historical April averages of 16°C. Model runs indicate modest afternoon heating potential from solar insolation, though northerly flows could cap peaks; watch MGM's final hourly updates and airport observations resolving the market.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
交易量
$9,870结束日期
2026-04-06市场开放时间
Apr 2, 2026, 6:02 AM ETTrader consensus on Polymarket, with 16°C leading at 37.5% implied probability followed closely by 15°C at 27%, reflects the latest Turkish State Meteorological Service (MGM) forecast projecting a midday high near 15°C at Esenboğa International Airport on April 6, corroborated by ECMWF and GFS ensemble means around 14-16°C amid a 12-18°C spread. Early April's continental climate in Ankara features cool mornings warming under variable cloud cover and light winds, consistent with recent observations of highs in the 14-17°C range over the past week and historical April averages of 16°C. Model runs indicate modest afternoon heating potential from solar insolation, though northerly flows could cap peaks; watch MGM's final hourly updates and airport observations resolving the market.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题