Latest short-range forecast ensembles from sources like AccuWeather and The Weather Channel project Shenzhen's April 6 high temperature at 28–29°C under partly cloudy skies with morning drizzle and high humidity, driving the closely matched trader consensus where 28°C holds a slim 27.5% implied probability edge over 29–30°C outcomes. Recent China Meteorological Administration updates reflect lingering moisture from April 3–4 thundershowers and heavy rain, which cooled early-week peaks to 23–28°C and introduced uncertainty in cloud cover and sea breeze strength—key differentiators between 27°C (persistent overcast) and 30°C+ (more solar insolation). Climatological norms for early April average 26°C highs at Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport, the resolution site, but above-normal warmth persists amid neutral ENSO conditions. New model runs expected April 4–5 could sharpen odds ahead of resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于Highest temperature in Shenzhen on April 6?
Highest temperature in Shenzhen on April 6?
28°C 31%
29°C 26%
31°C or higher 16%
27°C 15%
最新
最新
2026-04-06
21°C or below
<1%
22°C
1%
23°C
3%
24°C
3%
25°C
7%
26°C
7%
27°C
22%
28°C
31%
29°C
26%
30°C
18%
31°C or higher
16%
28°C 31%
29°C 26%
31°C or higher 16%
27°C 15%
最新
最新
2026-04-06
21°C or below
$329 交易量
<1%
22°C
$256 交易量
1%
23°C
$200 交易量
3%
24°C
$103 交易量
3%
25°C
$95 交易量
7%
26°C
$117 交易量
7%
27°C
$153 交易量
22%
28°C
$259 交易量
31%
29°C
$81 交易量
26%
30°C
$166 交易量
18%
31°C or higher
$140 交易量
16%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Latest short-range forecast ensembles from sources like AccuWeather and The Weather Channel project Shenzhen's April 6 high temperature at 28–29°C under partly cloudy skies with morning drizzle and high humidity, driving the closely matched trader consensus where 28°C holds a slim 27.5% implied probability edge over 29–30°C outcomes. Recent China Meteorological Administration updates reflect lingering moisture from April 3–4 thundershowers and heavy rain, which cooled early-week peaks to 23–28°C and introduced uncertainty in cloud cover and sea breeze strength—key differentiators between 27°C (persistent overcast) and 30°C+ (more solar insolation). Climatological norms for early April average 26°C highs at Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport, the resolution site, but above-normal warmth persists amid neutral ENSO conditions. New model runs expected April 4–5 could sharpen odds ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市场开放时间： Apr 2, 2026, 6:18 AM ET
交易量
$1,899结束日期
2026-04-06市场开放时间
Apr 2, 2026, 6:18 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Latest short-range forecast ensembles from sources like AccuWeather and The Weather Channel project Shenzhen's April 6 high temperature at 28–29°C under partly cloudy skies with morning drizzle and high humidity, driving the closely matched trader consensus where 28°C holds a slim 27.5% implied probability edge over 29–30°C outcomes. Recent China Meteorological Administration updates reflect lingering moisture from April 3–4 thundershowers and heavy rain, which cooled early-week peaks to 23–28°C and introduced uncertainty in cloud cover and sea breeze strength—key differentiators between 27°C (persistent overcast) and 30°C+ (more solar insolation). Climatological norms for early April average 26°C highs at Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport, the resolution site, but above-normal warmth persists amid neutral ENSO conditions. New model runs expected April 4–5 could sharpen odds ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
交易量
$1,899结束日期
2026-04-06市场开放时间
Apr 2, 2026, 6:18 AM ETLatest short-range forecast ensembles from sources like AccuWeather and The Weather Channel project Shenzhen's April 6 high temperature at 28–29°C under partly cloudy skies with morning drizzle and high humidity, driving the closely matched trader consensus where 28°C holds a slim 27.5% implied probability edge over 29–30°C outcomes. Recent China Meteorological Administration updates reflect lingering moisture from April 3–4 thundershowers and heavy rain, which cooled early-week peaks to 23–28°C and introduced uncertainty in cloud cover and sea breeze strength—key differentiators between 27°C (persistent overcast) and 30°C+ (more solar insolation). Climatological norms for early April average 26°C highs at Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport, the resolution site, but above-normal warmth persists amid neutral ENSO conditions. New model runs expected April 4–5 could sharpen odds ahead of resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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