Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects the tight spread in ensemble forecasts from ECMWF and GFS models, which project Madrid's highest temperature on April 7 between 19–24°C, driving closely matched implied probabilities around 18–23°C. This uncertainty stems from divergent predictions on the persistence of a high-pressure ridge over Iberia, which has supported recent mild highs near 20°C, versus potential increases in low-level clouds or southerly flow that could temper warming. AEMET observations confirm stable spring conditions with above-average insolation, but day+4 forecasts carry inherent variability in boundary layer mixing and advection patterns. Traders await daily model updates and AEMET advisories for resolution clarity near Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于Highest temperature in Madrid on April 7?
Highest temperature in Madrid on April 7?
18°C 25%
23°C or higher 24%
20°C 21%
19°C 18%
最新
最新
2026-04-07
13°C or below
1%
14°C
1%
15°C
6%
16°C
16%
17°C
17%
18°C
25%
19°C
18%
20°C
26%
21°C
16%
22°C
15%
23°C or higher
24%
18°C 25%
23°C or higher 24%
20°C 21%
19°C 18%
最新
最新
2026-04-07
13°C or below
$171 交易量
1%
14°C
$286 交易量
1%
15°C
$5 交易量
6%
16°C
$0 交易量
16%
17°C
$0 交易量
17%
18°C
$0 交易量
25%
19°C
$33 交易量
18%
20°C
$59 交易量
26%
21°C
$44 交易量
16%
22°C
$0 交易量
15%
23°C or higher
$0 交易量
24%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects the tight spread in ensemble forecasts from ECMWF and GFS models, which project Madrid's highest temperature on April 7 between 19–24°C, driving closely matched implied probabilities around 18–23°C. This uncertainty stems from divergent predictions on the persistence of a high-pressure ridge over Iberia, which has supported recent mild highs near 20°C, versus potential increases in low-level clouds or southerly flow that could temper warming. AEMET observations confirm stable spring conditions with above-average insolation, but day+4 forecasts carry inherent variability in boundary layer mixing and advection patterns. Traders await daily model updates and AEMET advisories for resolution clarity near Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市场开放时间： Apr 3, 2026, 6:11 AM ET
交易量
$598结束日期
2026-04-07市场开放时间
Apr 3, 2026, 6:11 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects the tight spread in ensemble forecasts from ECMWF and GFS models, which project Madrid's highest temperature on April 7 between 19–24°C, driving closely matched implied probabilities around 18–23°C. This uncertainty stems from divergent predictions on the persistence of a high-pressure ridge over Iberia, which has supported recent mild highs near 20°C, versus potential increases in low-level clouds or southerly flow that could temper warming. AEMET observations confirm stable spring conditions with above-average insolation, but day+4 forecasts carry inherent variability in boundary layer mixing and advection patterns. Traders await daily model updates and AEMET advisories for resolution clarity near Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
交易量
$598结束日期
2026-04-07市场开放时间
Apr 3, 2026, 6:11 AM ETTrader consensus on Polymarket reflects the tight spread in ensemble forecasts from ECMWF and GFS models, which project Madrid's highest temperature on April 7 between 19–24°C, driving closely matched implied probabilities around 18–23°C. This uncertainty stems from divergent predictions on the persistence of a high-pressure ridge over Iberia, which has supported recent mild highs near 20°C, versus potential increases in low-level clouds or southerly flow that could temper warming. AEMET observations confirm stable spring conditions with above-average insolation, but day+4 forecasts carry inherent variability in boundary layer mixing and advection patterns. Traders await daily model updates and AEMET advisories for resolution clarity near Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题