Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects the National Environment Agency's (NEA) latest fortnightly outlook, released two days ago, forecasting inter-monsoon conditions with thundery afternoon showers across parts of Singapore in the first half of April 2026, alongside daily maximum temperatures of 33–35°C on most days and potential peaks above 35°C on a few. This drives the tight clustering of implied probabilities around 30–33°C outcomes, as variable cloud cover, shower timing, and localized urban heat effects could cap or boost peaks amid baseline April climatology averaging 31°C highs. Lower probabilities for sub-30°C reflect rare cooling from persistent rain, though model uncertainty persists ahead of NEA's daily updates through April 7.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于Highest temperature in Singapore on April 7?
Highest temperature in Singapore on April 7?
32°C 32%
31°C 28%
33°C 20%
34°C or higher 14%
24°C or below
<1%
25°C
1%
26°C
1%
27°C
1%
28°C
7%
29°C
9%
30°C
12%
31°C
28%
32°C
32%
33°C
20%
34°C or higher
14%
32°C 32%
31°C 28%
33°C 20%
34°C or higher 14%
24°C or below
<1%
25°C
1%
26°C
1%
27°C
1%
28°C
7%
29°C
9%
30°C
12%
31°C
28%
32°C
32%
33°C
20%
34°C or higher
14%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Singapore Changi Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sg/singapore/WSSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市场开放时间: Apr 3, 2026, 6:09 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Singapore Changi Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sg/singapore/WSSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects the National Environment Agency's (NEA) latest fortnightly outlook, released two days ago, forecasting inter-monsoon conditions with thundery afternoon showers across parts of Singapore in the first half of April 2026, alongside daily maximum temperatures of 33–35°C on most days and potential peaks above 35°C on a few. This drives the tight clustering of implied probabilities around 30–33°C outcomes, as variable cloud cover, shower timing, and localized urban heat effects could cap or boost peaks amid baseline April climatology averaging 31°C highs. Lower probabilities for sub-30°C reflect rare cooling from persistent rain, though model uncertainty persists ahead of NEA's daily updates through April 7.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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